Are remote area candidates for virtual health ironically less tech-conducive? T Jon M. Martin, PhD, MM 143rd American Public Health Association (APHA) Annual Meeting and Exposition October 31 - November 4, 2015 - Chicago Health Informatics Information Technology: Session 4133.0, Abstract 329229 www.pfeiffer.edu Background Tele-based delivery increasingly considered in HC • • • Lower cost; optimal use of on-call staff/physicians Reduces commuting; provides remote accessibility Experience, logistical/technical viability, and application is increasing • • • Tele-based delivery/connections used for: a. Monitoring chronic patients remotely b. Providing diagnoses/opinions from remote staff/physicians c. Filling in on-call for odd shift staffing and cross-over, ER, ICU, etc. T More remote geographies are obvious candidates • • Less proximity/connection to major medical centers/corridors Socio-economics - age, income, education less advantageous(?) Little research has examined if more remote areas’ are relatively tech-conducive and/or if a proximity - tech conducive relationship exists Tech-conduciveness could have implications re: teledelivery’s ease-of-infusion, design, implementation. Study examines relationship between proximity to major medical and tech-conduciveness of NC counties www.pfeiffer.edu Data Sources and Methods 1. NC County Demographics (Census Quickfacts) 2. Internet usage %’s for US by demographics (US Census) 3. NC Death Statistics by county (NC SCHS) ID NC Major Medical > 250 beds 6. County tiers 1-3 by proximity to major medical (see map) T 4. Calc. of county tech factors weighted by demographic profiles profile Tech factors normalized 5. County normalized scores 1100 for tech conducive www.pfeiffer.edu Regression analysis and correlation Sources of Secondary Data and Calculations 1. NC County Demographics: Age, Income, Ethnicity, Education • http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/37000.html 2. Internet Usage % (used in Tech Factor Est.) • http://www.census.gov/hhes/computer/publications/2012.html Table 1. Reported Internet Usage for Individuals 3 Years and Older, by Selected Characteristics: 2012 • % house w/ Internet; access internet; access home Internet 3. County Death Rates: T • www.schs.state.nc.us/schs/data/databook/ (state center, health statistics) 2008-2012 Race-Specific and Sex Specific Age-Adjusted Death Rates By County • 3 Categories: a) All Causes; b) Disease of Heart; c) Cancer 4. County Tech-conducive Factors (Calculated): • County level tech census data not available. • County tech factors estimated by applying demographic-specific national internet %’s (#2 above) to county demographic profiles. 5. County Tech-conduciveness Scores • Tech factors are normalized into a 1-100 range/score 6. County Proximity/Access Tiers • Assigned (1-3) based upon proximity to medical facilities/corridors www.pfeiffer.edu County Proximity/Access Tiers T www.pfeiffer.edu Results Regressions • H0: There is no significant relationship between county access tier (CAT) levels and county tech-conducive scores (TCS). • H1: There is a significant relationship between county access tier (CAT) levels and tech-conducive scores (TCS). • Regression results supported H1….significant but weak relationship. o o County Access Tier (CAT)TCS: stdb = .252**; adjR2 = .054**; DW= 2.057 CATTCS (Piedmont Region) : stdb = .517**; adjR2 = .245**; DW= 2.587 T • Exploratory regressions on Death: o o o TCSDeath Rates: stdb = -.538**; adjR2 = .282**; DW = 2.048 TCSHeart Deaths: stdb = -.400**; adjR2 = .152**; DW = 2.075 TCSCancer Deaths: stdb = -.433**; adjR2 = .179**; DW = 2.297 o EducationDeath Rates: stdb = -.662**; adjR2 = .433**; DW = 2.216 EducationHeart Deaths: stdb = -.501**; adjR2 = .243**; DW = 1.978 EducationCancer Deaths: stdb = -.476**; adjR2 = .218**; DW = 1.927 o o o TCS’ and Education’s relationships with overall death rates deserves further respective understanding and examination. www.pfeiffer.edu Results (cont.) Significant Correlations Var 1 Var 2 Pearson’s Kendall’ s Spearman’s TCS CAT .252** .218** .278** TCS (Piedmont) CAT (Piedmont) .513** .599** .710** TCS Death -.538** -.433** -.602** TCS Heart Death -.400** -.315** -.455** TCS Cancer Death -.433** -.388** -.510** CAT Age .423** H .347** .420** CAT Education .347** .260** .324** Th Implications • TCS w/ CAT supports regression findings – sig. but weak correlation • Piedmont (only) regression shows sig., moderately strong correlation • TCS w/ Deaths support regressions – sig,. moderate relationship • CAT w/ Age, Educ. implies slightly older, more educated in outer Tiers www.pfeiffer.edu Conclusions & Implications • Piedmont region of NC reflects a strong TCS-Proximity relationship (Less proximal = less tech conducive; more proximal = more “t-c”). • Eastern NC has relatively low TCS scores but good major medical; tele-medicine may need additional infrastructure/development • Western NC has high tech scores but limited major medical, and may be a good candidate for tele-based expansions. • Knowing, considering, understanding an area’s tech-conduciveness could alter the application/configuration of tele-based delivery. • Major medical investments can T be balanced against tech infrastructure for optimizing LT investments/ROI in regional health. • Area’s TCS can indicate changes that need to occur through tech design, configuration, education, socio-economic development, etc. • Death rates inverse relationship with TCS may have a socioeconomic basis deserving further understanding/research. • The basic methods/techniques employed in this study can be similarly replicated for any country, state, region, county, or city to examine proximity vs. tech conducive patterns/relationships. www.pfeiffer.edu Limitations Conditions Results Limitations Normal data / Linearity K-S and plots indicate nonnormal for tech factors & scores Probability of nonlinear relationship(s) Heteroskedasticity Levene’s test None No perfect multicollinearity No perfect/high correlations between any variables None Non-zero variances All variances (std. dev.) are non-zero None Variable Types County Access Tiers are ordinal, discrete T 1-3 Discrete nature could cause some error in regressions Independent errors None Predictors uncorrelated with external variables Regression scattergrams OK for dependent vs. independent variables None County Tech Factor Calculations Estimated from census national averages/%’s Actual county tech #’s could be sig. different from estimated Proximity Tier Assignments Assigned based on hospital beds >250 Assignments could have error/variance Census Tech Questions/%’s 3 census-based responses re: Internet use/availability Questions may or may not best reflect techconduciveness www.pfeiffer.edu Future Research • Repeat study using AMOS/SEM • Repeat study using spacial regression • Repeat using different tech factor basis beyond Internet access/usage (e.g. smartphone access and/or usage). • Repeat using applications on a national or regional basis and/or in other states or provinces. • Further explore the demographic basis of tech-conduciveness (TCS) and death rates in counties. • Further explore the relationship of Education to Death Rates • Explore other models and analyses of tele-based considerations regarding application, design, patient readiness, training, etc. T www.pfeiffer.edu
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