International Trade Barriers for Technology Innovation Avi Messica1 & Tamir Agmon2 1. The Center for Entrepreneurship and Innovation Management, Technology Management Department, Holon Institute of Technology, 52 Golomb St., P.O.B 305, Holon 58102, ISRAEL, avim@hit.ac.il. 2. Graduate Business School, The College of Management, 7 Itzhak Rabin Boulevard, P.O.B 9017,Rishon Le-Zion 75190, ISRAEL, AgmonT@st.colman.ac.il. 1 Abstract We studied the prerequisites for the formation of innovative high technology sector, especially in small to medium size countries (but not limited to), by analyzing the Israeli Hi-Tech experience over the past fifteen years and by interviews with local industry professionals and entrepreneurs as well as variety of data sources. This work puts emphasis on the formation of high-technology sector in the context of innovative technology and at a strategic, system, level for policy makers. We find that the prerequisites for the formation of a viable high technology sector comprise of the following major components: creating or leveraging on a local comparative advantage at the firm or sector level, importing professional high-risk capital, and reducing tangible and intangible international trade costs by forming a suitable habitat, infrastructure-wise, for the development of innovative-technology sector. We recommend focusing first on the investors rather than on the entrepreneurs. We argue that the Israeli experience is valid for countries that are interested in setting up or strengthening their innovative high technology sector. Our findings and conclusions are in some contradiction to the policies that are currently practiced by some of the governments and regional organizations in the European Union and other countries as well. Keywords: Innovative technology; High-Technology; Technology Innovation; International Trade; Comparative advantage; Venture Capital; Policy; Investment 2 1. Introduction Innovation is an important driver and facilitator of growth, especially in small and medium size countries. However, in small and medium size countries innovation can be translated into growth only through the generation of a competitive advantage in the global markets. There are several prerequisites for the exposition of a country’s relative advantage into the global market. We assume that these prerequisites can be matched by the creation of intellectual property and the availability of highly skilled engineering and managerial manpower. The development of comparative advantage in the Israeli high technology (Hi-Tech) sector is evident from the sharp growth in the exports of its Hi-Tech goods and services. Israel is a small peripheral country that did not develop a world-class Hi-Tech sector prior to 1995. However, over 1995-2000 Israel has developed a global comparative advantage in the Hi-Tech sector as measured by Balassa’s Revealed Comparative Advantage (Balassa, 1965). It produces and exports roughly 1% of the global Hi-Tech production while its population is less than 0.5% of the population of the industrial countries. Over the past fifteen years the Israeli Hi-Tech industry underwent a double transformation. Its center of gravity shifted from Military/Defense type of products to civilian commercial products and the major source for funding innovative technology shifted from the government to the local, newly formed, venture capital (VC) industry. This was a result of a government launched special program called YOZMA (“YOZMA” means “Initiative”) that set up the ground for the formation of the Israeli venture capital industry. In 1992 the YOZMA program allocated a total amount of $100M for investment in ten local venture capital firms that were yet to be established. For the sake of comparison, the extent of funds that were managed by the American VC industry at the time was roughly $7.5B (www.nvca.org). The results of the YOZMA 3 program were overwhelming. By 2004, the $100M governmental investment was estimated to generate $5B in exports. Table 1 describes the outcomes of the program. Government # Funds VC Invested Survived firms ventures (2004) Employees Total Tax return (2004) exports (2004) (2004) $100M 10 168 103 6,000 $1.2B $100M Table 1. The outcomes of the YOZMA program and its results for year 2004. Over 1995-2005 the Israeli government infused more than $3B to the Israeli Hi-Tech sector through its Office of Chief Scientist (OCS) at the Ministry of Commerce & Trade. However, the local venture capital industry has raised, mainly from American institutional investors, and invested more than $11B over the same period of time (www.ivc-online.com), i.e. about four times the government’s investment. This huge investment resulted in about $23B in IPOs and M&A deals. Over 1998-2003 the Israeli ICT sector has grown up by 50%, its contribution to the Israeli GDP has increased from 8.8% in 1998 to 12.4% in 2003 and the annual exports almost doubled from $6.6B to $10.8B (www.tamas.gov.il). Moreover, it is estimated that out of every $4 of VC investment roughly $3.5 are paid wages of which $1.5 are paid as tax. The number of people that are employed in the sector rose up by 60% from 100,000 to 160,000. Although funding is indeed a vital necessity there is more to it than just money. The Israeli Hi-Tech sector features unique characteristics that could not be overcome with funding alone. Most of the production of the Israeli Hi-Tech sector is either exported in the conventional form of goods or services or in the form of selling innovative technology (e.g. during 2006 there were 60 acquisitions of local companies by 4 American and other international firms). The latter form of exports is the expected present value of future goods and services, some of which do not exist as yet or exist in a preliminary form. This form of goods and services is subjected to specific tangible and intangible international trade costs. For example, it is quite often that the costs of transportation are insignificant in the case of Hi-Tech products. Shippment cost is measurable and quantifiable and hence tangible. However, in the case of merger and acquisition (M&A) deals the value of future goods or services is very sensitive to the quality of the information that is provided which is quite often hard to quantify or to asses, hence intangible costs are involved. Acquiring an Israeli start-up company by a major global corporation requires a lengthy due diligence process for understanding the technological, financial, legal, and the cultural aspects of the company. Moreover, not only that the spoken language is different (Hebrew is written from left to right) but the accounting, financial, and legal standards are not the same as in the US or the UK not to mention differences in culture, mindset, character, ethics and even trivialities such as different time zones. The large specific trade costs that may incur can make such international transaction prohibitive. This description is valid for many small to medium size countries in the EU and other parts of the world. Trading Hi-Tech goods and services, particularly the future goods and services that are based on innovative technology, is always associated with tangible and intangible trade costs. The government of Israel was successful in creating a local comparative advantage vis-à-vis the US market by reducing these international trade costs for American investors and corporations. The reduction of these trade costs was accomplished by making the cost itself an industry good. Namely, by transferring the costs from the one-time buyer, or the one-time seller, to a professional financial intermediary. This was accomplished by using public funds through an effective 5 program (YOZMA) to catalyze the setting up of such system. In the Israeli case it has bridged information gaps as well as reduced the trade costs between the Israeli and the US markets. It is important to note that we make a distinction between Israel and countries such as Ireland or the like where the policy for the formation of Hi-Tech sector was based on attracting international firms for setting up production facilities through incentive mechanisms such as tax benefits. Such strategy is very successful in creating jobs but is prone to future migration of international corporate to other countries in which labor is cheaper as happened in the case of the Scottish Silicon glen. In contradistinction, we focus our attention on countries such as Finland, Sweden, or Israel in which the Hi-Tech sector is mostly based on the development and commercialization of innovative technology rather than Hi-Tech manufacturing. In this paper we focused on the prerequisites for growth through strengthening or setting up innovative Hi-Tech sector in small and medium size countries. In section two we analyze and discuss Deardorff’s (2004) model of local comparative advantage for the Israeli case and the effects of international trade costs on technology innovation. The local comparative advantage argument relates to the classic New Trade Theory (NTT) comparative advantage argument of returns to scale. The special nature of the trade costs pertaining to innovative technology and the relevant barriers are discussed in section three. The role of venture capital funds in reducing international trade costs and allowing for the import of foreign sector-specific capital is described and discussed in section four. We show that most of the trading costs are assumed by the venture capital funds (VC) that act as financial intermediaries. In the case of the Israeli Hi-Tech sector it was necessary to create the right endowments that facilitated the import of sector specific high-risk capital from the US. Lastly we summarize the 6 opportunities for other countries to borrow the best from the Israeli experience and conclude this report. 2. Local comparative advantage and innovative technology 2.1 Local comparative advantage In a recent paper Deardorff (2004) defined the term local comparative advantage as “the comparative advantage that a country may have relative to countries that are close to it, either geographically or in other ways that reduce the cost of trade". In its simplest form the local comparative model recognizes the fact that the consumer in the target market is interested in the actual price that he or she pays for a given good or a service and not in the autarky price of that good or a service in the country of origin. In a modern service-oriented economy this difference, defined by Deardorff (2004) as trade costs, is quite often significant and may comprise of several components of which many are not related to geographic distances. Moreover, international trade costs are dynamic. They change in response to technology changes, to competition, and to the volume of trade between countries. Recently Deardorff (2004) and Shachmurove and Spiegel (2006) showed that such changes are likely to affect the patterns of international trade. A local comparative advantage depends both on the market and on the traded goods. In general it is expected that in the absence of any intervention trade costs will decline over time. Since trade is initiated and carried out by firms, and not by governments, it takes managerial decisions to move goods and services from one country to another. However, both governments and firms can generate a strategic comparative advantage. For example, Israel is a world leader in generic drugs and TEVA is the world leading corporate of generic drugs. This has not happened by mere coincidence. Under the Israeli law and pharmaceutical regulations, 7 Israeli companies are allowed to engage research and development (R&D) as well as production of generic versions of patent protected drugs as long as they are not sold on the market. This has created a unique local comparative advantage for the Israeli generic drugs companies – and also led to an ongoing dispute with the US federal government – since they can make all the necessary preparations for selling a new generic drug within the patent protection period. It allows for TEVA to offer its products on the first minute after which patent protection expired thereby generating $7.5B in revenue with 14,700 employees. Being the first to market in the generic drugs sector gives a company a significant marketing advantage. The Israeli regulator has created local comparative advantage that provides Israeli generic companies with a head start against foreign competition, especially American-based companies. To further illustrate the formation of a local comparative advantage we consider Checkpoint Software Technologies, an Israeli company that is the worldwide leader in firewall and virtual private networks products for World-Wide-Web communications, data security and the like. Three veterans of the Israeli Defense Forces that specialized in the field of data security during their mandatory army service founded Checkpoint in 1993. In fact, Checkpoint’s founders spent several years in the Israeli army working with leading edge data security technology prior to setting up the company. This background, as well as their experience and expertise, gained the company the required comparative advantage to position it as a world leader in network security ever since 1993, resulting in $700M in revenue and 4000 employees. In some specific cases management or policy makers can create a local comparative advantage by taking advantage of some distinctive features of the international trade. Such is our third example that is borrowed from the traditional industry. Phoenicia Flat Glass is a small size, Israeli, flat glass manufacturer that began losing its business with the 8 progress of trade liberalization and globalization. Expert views were that the plant had to be closed down. However, the plant was acquired by a group of American investors who refurbished it and began exporting a substantial amount of its production to Mediterranean countries. This turnaround originated in taking advantage of international trade costs that are directly to the specifics of the Israeli imports and exports geographical trade balance. Namely, most of the Israeli imports are from Europe and in the form of bulky sea-transported goods while most of the Israeli exports are shipped by air to the US, Asia, and minor fraction to Europe. This results in excess capacity of sea transportation from Israel to Mediterranean ports which Phoenicia Flat Glass took advantage of. Hence the management significantly reduced the shipment costs of flat glass from Israel to Italy, France, and Spain and that turned out to be highly competitive with intra-European transport costs. Moreover, as a new supplier in these markets the company had to overcome a credibility barrier that usually manifests as customers concerns for production capacity, on-time delivery, product quality and the like. The new owners had already a number of flat glass plants in the Mediterranean basin thereby associated Phoenicia with this group of manufacturers and provided it with the locality factor and the necessary credibility among customers. 2.2 International trade costs Identifying and reducing specific trade costs is an international business strategy that is aimed at creating a local competitive advantage. It is particularly important for firms in small and medium size countries. When successful, it hardly affects international trade and prices but delivers significant advantage at the firm or country level. Note, that in some cases policy makers can apply a Tour de Force, NTT-based, 9 policy and invest significant amounts of public funds in the formation of national, sub-sectoral, center of excellence by funding a cluster of companies that will operate in co-opetition or in synergy in order to form a competitive global center of gravity. Such policies have been applied by the USA, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Israel, and recently China. Innovative technology firms specifically and the Hi-Tech sector in general are routinely, unknowingly to some extent, applying this strategy by making use of regulation, (e.g. TEVA), intellectual property (IP), special skills set (e.g. Checkpoint Software Technologies) and the like. The international trade in innovative technology goods and services is different than the conventional trade of goods and services for immediate consumption. Economic models measure the gains from trade in terms of increased aggregated consumption. However, in the Hi-Tech sector a large fraction of the goods and services that are developed are for future consumption. Hence they can be regarded as real options on the future consumption of goods and services. In many cases of innovative technology it is not clear what will be the final form of the goods and services that will be produced or even whether such goods and services will be produced at all. This futuric nature of goods and services render transportation costs insignificant. Hence, the trade costs are weighing toward intangible costs such as the quality or the credibility of the information that is involved. This type of cost manifests in the financial, accounting, legal, IP, managerial, ethical, cultural and other aspects of the innovative technology. Some of which may pose intangible costs that form barriers to overcome. 10 3. The barriers and habitat for technology innovation 3.1 The Innovative technology cycle We assume that the initial, pre-seed, funding gap is bridged by either public funds (or self-funding) through conventional mechanisms such as incubator programs, grants, convertible loans, royalty-based loans etc. This funding is usually used for feasibility tests, proof of concept, patent filing, writing a business plan and any other activity that may support the next round of funding. In most cases it is impossible for technology entrepreneurs to raise funds from conventional sources, i.e. in the form of debt, due to the absence of tangible assets, product orders or cash flow. Hence, in most countries the source of funds that are available for innovative technology ventures are either governmental, from wealthy individuals (angel investors), and or from venture capital funds. Pivotal to the fundraising process is the business plan that describes the technology and the business model. Initially, the innovative technology is in the form of some sort of IP, e.g. patent, algorithm, trade secret, and the like. Moreover occasionally the business model itself might be innovative (e.g. Google). Hence for entrepreneurs the IP is the sole source of future wealth and as a result most entrepreneurs are always reluctant to divulge to potential investors all the information they posses. This puts fair disclosure, during a due diligence process, in conflict with providing information for the sake of getting the investment. Once money was raised there is an intensive period of technology development followed by additional rounds of investment, possibly bringing in new investors into the company. The end process of importing high-risk capital into the Hi-Tech sector is the exit transaction that occurs in the case of successful commercialization of innovative technology. In such case – normally after five to seven years - the company or parts thereof are either 11 offered to the public or get acquired by another corporate and both the investors and the entrepreneurs meet cash pro rata. 3.2 International trade costs For start-up companies that are located in small countries such as Israel the potential acquirers are usually foreign corporate and therefore an exit is an export transaction. For investors, the trade costs that are involved with innovative technology are comprised of a combination of tangible and intangible costs. At start, investors have to evaluate the credibility of the information that is conveyed in the business plan. Namely, they have to consider the pertinent information with respect to technological aspects such as feasibility, capability to deliver the right value proposition to the end customer, price-performance ratio etc. Investors have also to evaluate intangible aspects such as the managerial quality of the company’s key personnel or the value of its IP. Contractual elements regarding proprietary aspects of employment, business partners and the like should also be reviewed and much more. We classify the international trade costs that are associated with innovative technology by the following categories: financial & accounting, legal, technological, and cultural (including managerial aspects and business ethics). Out of these, only the technology category might bear similarities across countries (under the notion that it is being reviewed by using universal engineering metrics). The rest of the categories are usually country-specific and in most cases involve both tangible and intangible costs that may turn significant enough to prevent a deal. However, even tough Israel is characterized by many distinct characteristics such as language, culture, ethics, legal system, financial, and accounting systems that may incur high trade costs it succeeded in establishing a flourishing Hi-Tech sector. Over 12 just five years (1995-2000) the Israeli Hi-Tech sector established a significant comparative advantage in the global markets. Moreover, this comparative advantage is primarily local as it pertains mostly to the US market and to few sub-sectors such as ICT, semiconductors, generic drugs, enterprise software and medical devices to some extent. So what are the prerequisites for setting up a successful Hi-tech sector and specifically in a small or medium size country? This question takes us back to basics. 3.3 International barriers for innovative technology Much like any domestic firm that seeks to operate in the global markets, any country that strives to set up a successful Hi-Tech sector will face market entry barriers. These entry barriers are proportional to both the size of the target market (e.g. semiconductors, telecom, etc) and to the competitive investments that are made by other countries in that sub-sector. For example, it is evidently clear that only few countries can set up a local semiconductor fabrication industry - regardless of how much lucrative this sub-sector is - because of the multi billion dollars initial investment that is required. The recent $5.2B co-investment of Intel and Micron for entering the Flash NAND market exemplifies this very well. Putting it in the right perspective, Intel and Micron’s joint investment by far exceeds the aggregated funds that the state of Israel invested in its Hi-Tech sector for the past decade! If we assume that exports is the major source of economic growth for small and mid size countries then it is clear that - for macro finance considerations - the quantity and the nature of high-risk capital in such countries is not sufficient for sustaining innovation-based exports in the long run. The only source for such capital is external and lies within the major developed countries. There are three major arguments for the need to import capital for technology innovation in small and midsize countries. 13 First, such capital exists only in countries in which wealthy savers (incorporated in the form of pension funds in countries such as the USA, UK and the like) allocate a small fraction – but quite significant in absolute terms - of their portfolio for high-risk investments. Hence, if a small country wishes to develop a viable innovative technology sector than that would necessitate an investment that exceeds the fraction of domestic savings that is allocated for high-risk investments. Second, in order to transfer funds from institutional investors to risky entrepreneurial ventures there is a need for risk and financial intermediation system that bridges the gap between risktaking entrepreneurs and risk-averse investors (Coval and Thakor, 2005). The US capital market, as well as the UK, Germany, and other major capital markets developed such a system in the form of a private equity sector. Lastly, professional investors and venture capitalists are much more efficient than public funds in maturing and commercializing innovative technology (Messica and Agmon, 2006). Hence the import of sector specific high-risk capital is a must for small to mid size countries that seek to create local comparative advantages in the global innovative technology markets. For a foreign investor the ideal investment is local, bears the potential of high gain, and is initiated by entrepreneurs that share his or her language, managerial practices, culture, and ethics. On top of that, in such investment the investor is highly familiar with the tax, accounting, financial, and legal systems. Unfortunately, these criteria are not met in most of the cases of foreign investment. Hence, the local government has to reduce the relevant tangible and intangible international trade costs for foreign investors. Moreover, in some cases some structural changes should be made. 14 3.4 The habitat for technology innovation Tables 2 and 3 summarize the actions that were taken in Israel either at the state or the firm level (dictated by VC investors as part of their investment terms) in order to address investors’ concerns and to reduce both the tangible and intangible international trade costs for innovative technology investments. For the Israeli case we considered American investors as a benchmark, but our findings are generic enough to be applicable to many countries. Habitat aspect Resolves Barriers/Costs Comment Tax pre-ruling or a clear Tax issues (resolved by the Pre-ruling was an ad-hoc mechanism that was used to law and regulations for local tax authority) upfront resolve taxation issues foreign investors for foreign investors in the face of the surge of Hi-Tech investments that has caught up the Israeli tax authorities by surprise Stable currency and clear Currency regulations exchange uncertainties (resolved by the local monetary authority) Major Israeli International trade dependent CPA Accounting (structural) offices are affiliated with major US CPA corporate Existence of local VC Legal, Managerial, Ethics, Local VC firm act as a firms with a Limited Cultural (was resolved by the “watchdog” over the investment – a “must have” – Partnership (LP) government, structural) that “speaks” the language of structure the investor. 15 Local attorney offices Legal, Contractual (structural) International trade dependent that include American Law certified attorneys plus US-based partner offices Table 2. Structural and system-level aspects that address different tangible and intangible costs for foreign investors in Israel and comprise the Israeli habitat for technology innovation. The Israeli habitat for technology innovation is not perfect nor is it optimal, even in the face of the vast experience that was gained over the past fifteen years. To illustrate that, the Israeli R&D law for funding technology innovation that was approved in 1984 was not investor-friendly since it forbade any export of knowledge or IP that were developed by any type of government funding. This law posed an insurmountable barrier for any M&A deal. However, in the face of reality the Israeli OCS has always overridden this clause. On June 2005 the Israeli R&D law was amended to allow for IP and Knowledge export at the cost of paying the government its stake as conventional investor subjected to deduction of any past royalties that were paid back by the company. However, the new version of the law is cumbersome and still any M&A deal is subjected to the OCS approval. During the preparation of this manuscript the Israeli Venture Capital Association (IVA) and the Israeli Stock Exchange approached the Israeli Internal Revenue System (IRS) in request to acknowledge investments in R&D companies as tax deductible. The Israeli IRS positively considers the request but has not approved it to date. If approved, this will reduce the tax liability of foreign investors. To further illustrate the vital need in creating a suitable habitat for foreign investments we consider the important issue of accounting principles. Currently the financial statements of most Israeli Hi-Tech 16 companies are prepared according to the Israeli Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and the US GAAP. With the advent of liberalization of the global financial markets, the Israeli leading accounting offices have already started adopting the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in spite of the criticism for its lack of transparency. The motivation for this move is not just to comply with the European Union financial reporting standards. It is the investment and business opportunities that it may open for their clientele, i.e. the Israeli companies. For example, abiding by the IFRS will open the Israeli Hi-Tech sector for German pension funds, which currently seek to make alternative investments, or to Singaporean investors that are not acquainted with the Israeli or USA GAAP and currently avoid investing in Israel. In general, IFRS compliance may open the Far East markets for Israeli companies. The Israeli accounting offices are aware that such a service may be beneficial for their clients and themselves. As a reference point, Canada, for example, is not expected to adopt the IFRS earlier than 2010 and the USA even later than that. Action Resolves Barriers/Costs Incorporate the company Legal, Accounting, in the USA and set up a Ethics, and Cultural Comment Tax, The mother company, into which the investment is made, is American (Often local subsidiary incorporated in Delaware). The subsidiary is used for technology development. This legal structure is also useful for the final stage of commercialization. NASDAQ IPOs Tax, Ethics, and cultural Israel is ranked third in the number of companies that are 17 listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange Copy Exact contracts Legal, Contractual, Ethics Contracts in the Hi-Tech sector are in English and are compatible, often copies, with what investors are accustomed to see (under the Israeli law limitations) US/PCT patents Even IP pending patents are important US-based personnel Office and Legal, Accounting, Tax, A Ethics, and Cultural must during commercialization, may prove redundant and expensive during the R&D phase. Table 3. Common measures that are taken Israeli managements in order to reduce costs and enhance transparency for foreign investors in technological start-up companies. Management can also take variety of actions in order to reduce international trade costs, especially intangible costs. For example, investors in innovative technology are always concerned with IP rights. Typical concerns are about breaching of patents that are owned by another party, litigation, the company’s patent approval and protection. Applying for patent through the Patent Cooperation Treaty (PCT) provides the applicant extra protection of up to eighteen months as well as world wide – pending coverage (130 countries) than if applyed locally or solely in the target market. Moreover, a pending patent has lots of value from investor’s perspective since it signals that the IP that forms the basis of the innovative technology is credible and was refereed by an independent authority. Applying English, or another international language for that matter, as the formal communication and documentation language of 18 the company also reduces intangible costs (no need for documents translation). Such actions and the like may reduce both tangible and intangible costs forming a better habitat for innovative technology and making foreign investors comfortable enough to invest. 4. Foreign professional investors as international financial intermediaries 4.1 Venture capital and risk intermediation Recently Coval and Thakor (2004) described a new model of financial intermediation for technological innovation. In presenting a conceptual model they defined financial intermediation as "…an economy with overly optimistic entrepreneurs who require funding from pessimistic investors. In such a setting, only a rational intermediary will be sufficiently optimistic to find it worthwhile to invest in a technology for screening entrepreneurs' projects, and yet be pessimistic enough to use this technology". VC investors are the kind of rational financial intermediaries that bridge the gap between risk-averse investors and risk-taking entrepreneurs and provide the necessary credibility for making high-risk high-gain investments through a special set of skills and practices. This framework serves for illustrating how intangible trade costs were reduced in the Israeli case. As we pointed out earlier, in a small country like Israel the high-risk capital that is required for innovative technology can be solely achieved from the major capital markets. Moreover, the capital that is required for investment in innovative technology is sector specific (Wong, 1995) in the sense that it brings added value into the investment. This added value might be hands-on experience in risky investments such as suitable managerial practices including crisis management, accountability and reporting procedures, industrial contacts and networking and more. These features extend beyond the scope of a conventional financial investment. In this 19 context, investment in innovative technology requires a specific professional skills set that is provided by venture capital investors. Institutional investors usually supply high-risk capital through such private equity and VC firms. As we pointed out earlier public money is much less efficient than professional, i.e. VC, money in the commercialization of innovative technology products. This relates to the above but also to the fact that VC investors are compensated based on their performance through a carried-over interest mechanism, namely they share the return-on-investment funds with their investors. The information gap between risk-averse investors and entrepreneurs widens when the entrepreneurs reside in a foreign country. Adding the tangible and intangible trade costs of partial imperfect information on top of the geographical distance makes things worse. In a recent survey of VC funds models Meyer and Weidig (2003) argued that "the venture capital market is illiquid, immature, and lacks transparency". Such environment is favorable for practicing monopolistic competition that enables VC firms to set up a decision-making system that reduces the trade costs that are associated with risky investments. The unique structure of the VC firms, their investors, and the demand for high-risk capital by technological entrepreneurs creates a monopolistic competition market for high-risk capital. This position gives the VC firms the incentive to invest in information transparency in order to signal about credible investment policy. Hence VC investors go into the effort of screening investment opportunities by a thorough due diligence process that addresses the concerns of their investors on issues such as financial, accounting, legal, IP, managerial, ethical, cultural and more. For this reason, the financial intermediation of VC firms on cross-border investments is crucial in facilitating for risk-averse foreign investors to invest in innovative technology ventures in foreign distant countries. In fifteen years retrospective, there is no doubt 20 that in the Israeli case the presence of American VC firms and investors was instrumental in enabling the Israeli Hi-Tech sector to create its local comparative advantage. A reflection of that is the fact that the number of Israeli firms that are listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange is ranked third after the USA and Canada. 4.2 The government as a catalyst Asymmetry is a problem that many small and medium size countries (or firms) face in the international markets. By far and large, the relative benefit of building up Hi-tech sector in a small or medium size country is greater than its contribution to the international trade. For example, the importance of building up a new, local, comparative advantage for Israel in the Hi-Tech sector by far exceeded the contribution of its Hi-Tech sector to the international trade. Hence, in this case the asymmetry works for the benefit of small and medium size countries. The YOZMA program that was launched by the Israeli government addressed the prerequisites that were considered so far. In 1992 the Israeli government had allocated $100M for investment in new venture capital funds. This amount was committed to fund up to 40% of the fund size of newly formed VC firms. The rest 60% were supposed to be invested by reputable and experienced international investors. It took about three years time for these ten newly formed VC firms to raise the rest of the funds from global reputable investors and reach a total of $210M, these funds currently manage more than $4B. Table 4 presents the original YOZMA member funds, their international investing partners, original fund size and current fund size. 21 Israeli Fund International Original fund size Current fund Size ($M) ($M) Investor Gemini Advent (USA) 25 550 JVP Oxton (US, Far- 20 670 20 1000 20 242 25 185 Kyocera 20 260 (Germany), 20 980 20 40 20 72 20 80 East) Pitango (formerly CMS (USA) Polaris) Vertex Vertex International (Singapore) Walden Walden Venture partners (USA) Concord (formerly AVX, Nitzanim) (Japan) Star Ventures TVM Singapore Tech Inventech Van Leer Group (Netherlands) Eurofund Daimler-Benz and DEG (Germany) Medica Table 4. MVP (USA) The first ten Israeli VC funds that formed the Israeli habitat for high-risk high-gain innovative technology investments, their initial foreign investors upon inception, the funds raised at the time of inception and the extend of currently managed funds. 22 Moreover, the program gave the Israeli VC firms a five-year call option to buy out the government stake thereby increasing the upside potential for foreign investors. Real options analysis indicates that a call option for buyback is significant risk mitigation. Nine out of the ten VC firms exercised this option by 1997. This allowed the government for a controlled exit out of the VC sector, in fact privatizing it on-demand and at the will of the VC firms. Note that the local VC investors were entrepreneurs themselves that allocated the resources and the efforts that were required to make international investors comfortable enough to invest in Israeli ventures. In this way the Israeli government harnessed local businessmen to act as agents of change that turned into international financial intermediaries by the end of the process. Luckily, the YOZMA program had a perfect timing. It was launched at a time where the US VC industry was relatively small and when the global Hi-Tech sector, as well as the last ICT revolution, was just picking up (prior to the wide spread of the internet, cell phones, laptops and the like). Still, the $210M that was raised could hardly overcome the entry barriers of the global Hi-Tech markets. However, it triggered a process of an external flow of funds, into other newly formed VC firms, which provided the necessary critical mass of funding as well as the required experience and skills set that purchased Israel the entry ticket into the global Hi-Tech market. Note that in this case the government did not act as the driving force for stimulating technological innovation. Rather it acted as a catalyst to ease the way for market forces to get into action by reducing tangible and intangible international trade costs. Currently there are about 120 investment organizations in Israel of which about 85 are VC firms that manage roughly $12B (For comparison, in 1992 there was just a single fund that managed $20M). Table 5 outlines the basic features of the YOZMA program. Note 23 that the program itself has nothing specific to Israel apart from the fact that there was no VC sector in Israel prior to it. Policy Term Comment Portfolio approach Set up 10 VC funds Government act as a fund of funds Set up a government VC fund Direct investment with $20M Up to $8M per fund for up to VC allocated funds Minority holding 40% equity stake Five years option to buy back Buyback option the government’s stake To Government Representative in signal government involvement and commitment the investment committee of each fund Engage complementary programs Incubators program To MAGNET involvement and commitment as program (academy plus industry consortiums for signal government well as deal flow generation the development of generic technologies) VC Structure Limited Partnership Mandatory, to reduce risk exposure for foreign investors Foreign investors Equity investor (not debt) Mandatory, experience, to bring skill networking, and reputation Table 5. High-level features of the YOZMA program 24 in set, 4.3 The habitat for innovative technology A recent report on the Israeli policy for innovation development has identified system failures or barriers that YOZMA succeeded to overcome. These are as summarized in the following table (adopted from Trajtenberg, 2005) Barrier Difficulty in accessing professional Solution Sharing the risk with the local private investors (Government share in YOZMA was reputable foreign partners 40%) Assembling critical mass of Upside incentive Participation of World-Class foreign VC firms is mandatory capabilities Critical mass of financial resources Selective choice of local investors Direct government investment through the YOZMA fund ($20M) Fund of funds investment through YOZMA ($80M) in 10 VC firms $1 YOZMA vs. $1.5 private investors (total of $250M for investment) Coordination Joint planning and execution of the program (YOZMA officials with the private investors) OCS representative on the BoD of each VC fund Parallel execution of complementing programs (Incubators, MAGENT, etc.) Early stage investments Assuring fast learning curve Requirement – Early stage investments LP form Requirement – Foreign VC as GP or LP Set up a new VC firm 25 Country/Government signaling $100M of government funds Extensive interaction during planning and execution VC firms selection Implementation of complementary programs On going process, if an important criteria was identified it was added to the list of requirements from the following VC Table 6. The Market failures, or barriers, that the YOZMA program succeeded to overcome. Such barriers are typical for small and medium size countries. Noteworthy, during the late eighties and early nineties Israeli policy makers have been experimenting with different funding mechanisms for the Hi-Tech sector using variety of policies including setting up public VC funds (traded on the Tel-Aviv stock exchange) with government downside protection (investors money was insured by the government insurance company INBAL). All these trials, and derived policies, failed for the following reasons: applied Push Strategy and focused on increasing the pool of VC firms by using public money, the use of public money for stimulating entrepreneurship, ignored taxation issues for both local and foreign investors, unclear monetary policy as well as unfavorable taxation, ignored the need for high-level professional investors and ignored cardinal issues that are associated with VC organizational structure. The YOZMA program exercised Pull Strategy in which public money was used to reduce international trade costs and stimulate the market forces to get into action thereby triggering positive feedback for building up the local VC sector, possibly unintentionally but still very successful. 26 Summary We studied the prerequisites for the formation of innovative high technology sector, especially in small to medium size countries (but not limited to), by analyzing the Israeli Hi-Tech experience over the past fifteen years and by interviews with local industry professionals and entrepreneurs as well as variety of data sources. We assume that these requirements can be matched by the creation of intellectual property and the availability of highly skilled engineering and managerial manpower. Even in the face of rapid globalization, unprecedented trade liberalization, the ICT revolution, and modern transportation that significantly reduces shipment costs, international trade is not free of costs nor it is frictionless. The policy of various regional organizations and governments should acknowledge the importance of the local comparative advantage concept. The Israeli experience in the Hi-Tech sector is an example of how a specific form of international financial intermediation can reduce trade costs and become instrumental in creating a local comparative advantage. Meeting the investment requirements of international investors is a must for realizing the potential of technological innovation in the international trade. Unfortunately, in many cases the public policy is focused on the technology and the entrepreneurs. We argue that the optimal policy for governments and regional organizations that seek to establish foothold in technology innovation is to focus on attracting experienced and credible international investors and that market forces will take care of the rest, including stimulating local entrepreneurship. The Israeli experience has taught us that the following prerequisites have to be met in order to increase the chances of success in setting up innovative technology Hi-Tech sector in small/mid size countries. These are: 27 Attracting professional sector-specific capital. Namely establish comparative local advantage via the attraction of foreign venture capital or private equity funds by using public money to mitigate their risk and increase their upside return. Adopt a portfolio approach to create an industry-wide reduction in trade costs. Reduce uncertainties and costs to minimum (including tangible costs that can be controlled such as taxation, knowledge transfer limitations, foreign currency trade limitations etc.) Build a suitable habitat for nurturing innovative technology. Namely, setting up an effective communications infrastructure by focusing on the relevant dimensions of information in financial & accounting, legal, technological, and cultural in order to signal credibility and transparency. We argue that the Israeli experience is valid for many countries that are interested in setting up or strengthening their high technology sector. We recommend for governments to focus on attracting professional high-risk investors at the first stage rather than on the entrepreneurs. We also recommend governments to adopt a catalyst role rather than an enabler role. Every country has its local barriers that have to be overcome in order to take part in the global game. This can be accomplished by setting up the proper habitat for the market forces to get into action. If done properly then positive feedback will take care of the rest of the process. Our findings and conclusions are in some contradiction to the policies that are currently practiced by some of the governments and regional orgnaizations in the European Union and other countries. 28 References Balassa, B., 1965. Trade Liberalization and “Revealed” Comparative Advantage, Manchester School of Economics and Social Studies, 33, 92-123. Coval, Joshua D., and Anjan Thakor, 2005. Financial Intermediation As a BeliefsBridge between Optimists and Pessimists, Journal of Financial Economics, 75, no. 3. Deardoff A. V., 2004, Local Comparative Advantage: Trade Costs and the Pattern of Trade, Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy, Discussion Paper #500. Messica A., and T. Agmon, Venture Capital Dynamics, the Public Sector, and the High Technology Industry, ISPIM 2006 Conference on Networks for Innovation, Athens, Greece (11-14 June 2006). Messica A., and T. Agmon, Venture Capital, The public sector, and the HighTechnology Industry, Submitted for publication in The International Journal of Innovation and Technology Management. Meyer, T. and T. Weidig, 2003, Modeling Venture Capital Funds. Risk Magazine, October 2003. Shachmurive Y. and Spiegel U., 2006, Technological Improvements and Comparative Advantage Reconsidered, PIER Working paper 06-023. Trajtenberg M., 2006, Innovation Policy for Development: an Overview. Working paper STE-WP-34-2006, Technion, Israel Institute of Technology. Wong, K. Y., 1995, International trade in goods and factor mobility, MIT Press, Ch.3. . 29
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