Example: Shuttle Missions • • • • • O-rings failed in Challenger disaster Low temperature Prior flights “erosion” and “blowby” in O-rings Feature: Temperature at liftoff Target: problem (1) - erosion or blowby vs. no problem (0) Data Shuttle; input Atrisk failed temp LCpress launch; label temp= "Temperature at Liftoff"; label launch = "Launch number"; label LCpress = "Leak Check pressure (PSI)"; cards; 6 0 66 50 1 6 1 70 50 2 (more data) *; proc logistic data=shuttle; title3 "Logistic Regression"; model failed/atrisk = temp launch; output out=out1 predicted = p; run; proc genmod data=shuttle; title3 "Logistic Regression"; model failed/atrisk = temp launch/dist=binomial; run; Chi-Square Contingency Tables Heart Disease No Yes Low BP High BP Heart Disease No Yes 95 5 100 75 25 55 45 100 75 25 DEPENDENT INDEPENDENT c2 Test Statistic • Expect 100(150/200)=75 in upper left if independent (etc. e.g. 100(50/200)=25) Heart Disease No Yes Low BP High BP 95 (75) 55 (75) 5 (25) 45 (25) (observed exp ected ) 2 c allcells exp ected 2 100 100 2(400/75)+ 2(400/25) = 42.67 Compare to 150 50 200 c2 Tables Distribution: Chi-square df=(rows-1)(cols-1) Significant! Next: Contingency table notes and Titanic survival example
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