GHG Measurement Precision, Reporting Incentives, and Environmental Liability Aline Grahn & Jochen Bigus Freie Universität Berlin, September 2016 Abstract This paper analyses two questions in a simple principal-agent-framework: (1) How does the firm’s liability for environmental damages induce the firm to precisely measure Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions? (2) How does environmental liability affect the manger’s incentives to manipulate the report on GHG emissions given that the report can be used as evidence before court? We obtain the following results: (1a) Under strict liability, neither the shareholders of the firm (as principal) nor the manager are interested in GHG measurement precision. (1b) In contrast, under a negligence rule, the precision of the GHG indicator becomes important because the shareholders are only held liable for too high emission levels. Higher precision of the GHG indicator reduces Type 1-errors and by that, reduces the manager’s compensation. (2a) If the manager is able to manipulate reported GHG emissions and this manipulation is not observable, the real emission level will increase. Under strict liability, shareholders suffer from this activity because of higher damage compensation. (2b) Under a negligence regime, the manager will manipulate GHG emission reports more the more precise the measurement technique gets. Shareholders may now benefit from GHG emission report manipulation since it is easier to escape liability; the more so the higher are expected damages. (3) Possible reputation losses and punitive damages will induce managers both to reduce manipulation of GHG emission reports and to keep real GHG emission levels low. Overall, while a negligence regime encourages more precise GHG emission measurement than strict liability, it also provides stronger incentives for manipulation. GHG Measurement Precision, Reporting Incentives and Environmental Liability 1. Introduction This paper analyses how the environmental liability regime affects the managers’ incentive (1) to precisely measure and (2) to truthfully report the level of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions, and by that, (3) to effectively reduce the GHG emission level, given that there is a separation of ownership and control in the firm. Increasing GHG emissions are considered to be an important driver of climate change (IPCC, 2014). Thus, the reduction of GHG emissions is a pressing goal on the political agenda. In the European Union, both countries and firms are required to reduce GHG emissions by 20 % until 2020 in comparison to 1990 (EC, 2015 a). 1 An important GHG emission reduction program is the European Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) which covers about 45% of the GHG emissions in the EU (EC, 2015 b), but currently does not provide proper incentives to reduce emissions due to an excess of emission allowances and too low allowance prices (DEHSt, 2013; Brockmann et al., 2012).2 Thus, politicians and economists are looking for alternatives. Environmental liability might be an alternative way to improve incentives. If firms are held liable for GHG emissions they should be more inclined to reduce them. Liability may require that courts are able to observe the real GHG emission level. But courts may find it hard to do so (Goldsmith & Basak, 2001) due to limited precision of technical measurement tools (IPCC, 2006), problems of proper verification and the long-term effects of GHG emissions. Moreover, 1 In some countries, there are even more challenging goals, e.g., Germany aims to reduce GHG emissions by 40 % until 2020 (BMUB, 2015). 2 The European Commission aims to reform the EU ETS (Commission Regulation No 176/2014, EC, 2015c). 1 the EU Commission Regulations provides a series of options and margins of discretion to the firms how to measure GHG emission levels (EC, 2012a and 2012b) which mainly stem from the argument of unreasonable costs: “improvements from greater accuracy shall be balanced against the additional costs” (EC, 2012b, Art. 8). For instance, firms may measure emission levels directly by output or activity data, or indirectly by input data (measurement-based versus calculation-based methodology). With output data there are problems of precise measurements and proper verification, especially considering the long-term effects of emissions. The precision on measurement techniques partly depends on the very polluting facility, that is, on the type, design and age of equipment, chemical handling practices but also on legislation, e.g. on chemical recovery requirements (IPCC, 2006). If emission levels would be too high based on output data, firms may rather want to estimate emission levels indirectly based on “activity data” (EC, 2012 b, Art. 27 (2)), e.g. by the quantity of fuel or material processed during the reporting period, that is, by input information. The GHG emission level is then indirectly derived from the activity data combined with standardized calculation factors. However, there are choice options regarding the calculation factors. On the one hand default values are given through guideline values partly referring to the IPCC guidelines (cf. EC, 2012 b, Annex VI), but on the other hand, Annex II grants several choice options for some tiers in determining the calculation factors permitting uncertainties of partly more than ± 10 % (cf. EC, 2012 b, Annex II). There is also discretion on monitoring plans, firms may ap- plicate standardized or simplified monitoring plans (EC, 2012b, Art. 13, 26). 3 Usually privately run technical assurance companies perform the monitoring. They are paid by the polluting firm. 3 Firms have discretion to choose the tier for their monitoring concept while tier 1 describes the minimum standard. The requirements increase and the permitted uncertainties decrease the higher the applied tier is. 2 To sum up, it is important to note that there are pronounced information asymmetries and that the firms have considerable discretion on measuring and reporting GHG emission levels. Thus, it is not surprising that firms tend to voluntarily disclose poor information on the level and on the measurement of GHG emissions (e.g., Sullivan, 2009, Sullivan & Gouldson, 2012, Kolk et al., 2008, DEFRA, 2010 Stanny, 2013, Matisoff et al. 2013 and González-González & Zamora-Ramírez, 2013). Within the ETS trading scheme there is mandatory reporting but yet there are no studies explicitly analyze the reporting quality of mandatory disclosures. Our model addresses two components of reporting quality: the precision of measurement which is likely to influence the precision of reporting given that manipulation is not possible. The second component refers to the incentives for reporting manipulation. While precision refers to the incentives to improve the precision of technical measurement devices in order to reduce the measurement error (reduce the standard deviation), manipulation considers the manager’s incentives to report lower GHG emission levels than they actually are (shifting the mean). We analyze how environmental liability rules affect the precision and manipulation of GHG emission reports. There are three scenarios: (1) no liability for GHG emissions, (2) strict liability and (3) a negligence rule. With strict liability, the firm − effectively the firm’s shareholders − are held liable when GHG emissions cause damages. With a negligence regime, the firm is held liable if GHG emissions cause damages and, additionally, if the firm acted negligently, i.e. if the firm failed to meet the standard of due care specified by legal rules. The court decides on whether due care has been met based on the GHG emission report. In the European Union, firms generally face strict liability (see Directive 2004/35/EG). Still, as we intend to provide a normative analysis we will also investigate the cases of no liability and of a negligence rule. Since it is the firm’s management which decides both on the GHG emission level but also on the reporting, we explicitly consider the agency problem between shareholders and managers. 3 Only managers are able to observe the real GHG emission level. Shareholders may have to pay damage payments, though. Thus, shareholders rationally will set up a bonus contract which provides monetary rewards to the manager not only to increase financial performance but also environmental performance, that is, to decrease GHG emission levels. The manager can increase both types of performance by higher respective effort levels. Neither effort level is observable and thus, not contractible. The bonus contract is based on a financial and an environmental performance measure instead, which are both biased, though. We find that the liability regime strongly influences the incentives for GHG emission measurement precision, GHG emission reporting manipulation and the real GHG emission levels. With no liability, GHG emission levels do not matter neither to the shareholders nor to the manager such that they are not part of the bonus contract. There is no need for precision nor for manipulation and GHG emission levels are high. Under strict liability, shareholders want to reduce GHG emissions to the efficient level and – given that reporting manipulation is not possible – the manager will do that. Neither the shareholders nor the manager are interested in GHG measurement precision. However, if managers are able to manipulate the GHG emission report, they will do so and the real emission level will increase. Shareholders suffer from this activity because of higher damage compensation. Under a negligence rule, the precision of the GHG indicator matters because the shareholders are only held liable for emission levels exceeding the standard of due care. Higher precision of the GHG indicator reduces Type 1-errors − reported GHG emissions are high even though real GHG emissions are low − and by that, increases the manager’s compensation. But if managers are able to manipulate the GHG emission report, they will be more inclined to do so when measurement precision is high. The simple reason for this is that manipulation pays off most when it is the only reason for biased emission reports. In contrast to a strict liability regime, 4 shareholders now may benefit from GHG emission report manipulation since it is easier to meet the due standard of care and to escape liability; the more so the higher are expected damages. To sum up, there is a trade-off: While only a negligence regime induces the firm to precisely measure GHG emission levels, it also provides incentives to both managers and shareholders to manipulate GHG emission reporting. Only if reputation losses in markets sufficiently punish the firm for manipulation, managers will not manipulate GHG emission reports. However, reputation losses induce managers to increase real GHG emission levels. Punitive damages will mitigate the latter incentive. For both academics and policy-makers it might be an interesting insight that the incentives for measurement precision and reporting manipulation of GHG emissions crucially depend on the liability regime. Given the insights of our analysis, policy-makers should install a negligence regime accompanied by a public register that disclose sever cases of false reporting on GHG emission levels. If stock or product markets sufficiently penalize firms for misreporting and if there are punitive damages, a negligence regime will offer both the benefit of improved measurement precision and weak incentives for report manipulation. To the best of our knowledge, this paper is the first one to analyze the delicate interaction between environmental liability rules and GHG emission reporting incentives given that there is a separation of ownership and control. It contributes to three different strands of literature. First and most importantly, it contributes to the emerging literature on GHG emission reporting which so far rather uses empirical methods but lacks theoretical underpinning (e.g., Sullivan, 2009, Sullivan & Gouldson, 2012, Kolk et al., 2008, DEFRA, 2010 Stanny, 2013, Matisoff et al. 2013 and González-González & Zamora-Ramírez, 2013). In contrast to this literature, we especially emphasize the impact of the environmental liability regime on reporting choices and we distinguish between incentives for measurement precision and for reporting manipulation. 5 We are not aware of financial accounting literature that links the firm’s choices on reporting quality to liability regimes. Yue, Richardson & Thornton (1997) find a partial disclosure equilibrium implying that firms will withhold environmental liabilities exceeding a threshold level when outside stakeholders can impose political costs. However, Yue et al. (1997) do not model the drivers of environmental liability, such as the liability regime, and do not analyze how reporting incentives affect liability. In the auditing literature, however, it is well known that the very characteristics of auditor liability affect audit quality (e.g. Schwartz 1997, Willekens & Simunic 2007, Laux & Newman 2010, Bigus 2015). We assume the shareholders to be held liable while the agent (manager) is not liable whereas the audit literature assumes the agent (auditor) to be held liable and the shareholders not. A manager can receive performance-based compensation, while an auditor is not allowed to. Our paper also distinguishes between effects on measurement precision and reporting manipulation, while the audit literature usually captures report manipulation only, and does not consider reputation losses. Second, the paper adds to the small literature on principal-agent-models that especially consider an environmental context (Gabel & Sinclair-Desgagné 1993, Sinclair-Desgagné & Gabel 1996, Goldsmith & Basak 2001, Lothe & Myrtveit 2003). 4 One common way to implement the environmental performance is the assumption of a multi-task agent (Holmström & Milgrom, 1991, Feltham & Xie, 1994). A common result of this literature is that bonus contracts require sufficiently unbiased environmental performance indicators (EPI). This is in line with the seminal finding of Holmström & Milgrom (1991) that linking compensation to performance measures 4 There are a few principal-agent-models examining special environmental problems, e.g. the relationship between countries (Helm & Wirl 2014). Wood et al. (2012) analyse the conflict of interest between house owners and tenants concerning the investment in energy-efficient equipment in Australia. The principal-agent-model of Vernon & Meier (2012) deals with in energy-efficient investments in the trucking industry. In contrast to our model, the agent prefers energy-efficient investments, but not the principal. 6 works better the less noisy the performance measure is. We add to this literature by endogenizing the bias of the EPI. More specifically, we show how the liability regime affects the manager’s incentive for both measurement precision and reporting manipulation. Third, we add to the law and economics literature which usually do not account for agency problems inside the polluting firm (e.g., Schäfer & Ott, 2004, Endres, Friehe & Rundshagen, 2015). Shavell (2007: 170-175) addresses a principal-agent context assuming that the agent can cause harm by her actions and can be held liable but has limited assets (vicarious liability). The principal is also liable and has sufficient assets to pay damages. While Shavell analyses under which circumstance the agent still will exert efficient care he does not analyze how the liability rules affect the agents’ incentives for measurement precision and reporting manipulation. Further, we assume that the firm is held liable but not the agent; the so-called business judgment rule makes it difficult to make the manager responsible (e.g., Reinhardt et al. 2008, Bricker, 2013, Told, 2015). Another related paper is Polinsky & Shavell (2012) who analyze whether voluntary or mandatory disclosure on product risks is socially beneficial. They find that mandatory disclosure rules are more valuable to costumers while the firm’s incentives to acquire information are stronger under voluntary disclosure. Whether mandatory or voluntary disclosure is socially preferable also depends on the product liability regime. Polinsky & Shavell (2012) ignore an owner-manager conflict and assume that the firm discloses new information truthfully while we endogenize the manager’s incentives in a principal-agent framework. Section 2 contains the basic model only addressing the management’s incentives for measurement precision on GHG emissions. Section 3 extends the analysis to GHG emission report manipulation. Section 4 concludes. 7 2. Model analysis: incentives for GHG emission measurement precision Before we analyze the impact of strict liability and of a negligence regime, we first present the assumptions, the case of no liability and the social optimum as a benchmark. 2.1 Basic assumptions We analyze a two-stage model with risk-neutral actors. The shareholders of a firm emitting greenhouse gases (GHG) delegate tasks to a professional manager. The shareholders represent the principal, the manager is the agent. The manager has two tasks: exerting high effort in order to maximize shareholder value and deciding on the level of GHG emissions. The decision on the level of GHG emissions is a decision on using adequate technologies and procedures which is a strategic decision and not really time-consuming. Thus, we assume that reducing emissions does not compete with the “business as usual” task to maximize shareholder value. 5 Still, the manager suffers a disutility, e.g. resources devoted to use adequate technologies. The shareholders (and other parties such as courts) are unable to directly observe or to control the managerial effort to maximize shareholder value and to influence the GHG emission level. In order to keep the model simple, those are the only information asymmetries, everything else is assumed to be common knowledge. Thus, in order to align the interests shareholders need to provide incentives to the manager in a compensation contract based on verifiable indicators for financial performance and for environmental performance (FPI and EPI) which we call 𝑥𝑥� and 𝑦𝑦�, respectively, both of which are 5 The appendix briefly addresses a binding capacity constraint that connects both tasks via a reaction function. It turns out that the qualitative results on the effects of the different liability regimes do not change. 8 stochastic variables (Holmström & Milgrom, 1991). Following the literature, we assume linear compensation contracts (e.g. Holmström & Milgrom,1991, Feltham & Xie, 1994). The FPI 𝑥𝑥�, such as a stock price, depends on the manager’s effort for “business as usual” 𝑏𝑏 and is uniformly distributed, 𝑥𝑥� ~ 𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢(𝑏𝑏 − 𝜋𝜋, 𝑏𝑏 + 𝜋𝜋), with 𝑏𝑏 ≥ 𝜋𝜋 ≥ 0 and an expected value 𝐸𝐸 [𝑥𝑥� ] = 𝑏𝑏. Analogously, the EPI 𝑦𝑦� depends on the manager’s decision e with regard to GHG emissions. For simplicity, 𝑦𝑦� is also uniformly distributed: 𝑦𝑦� ~ 𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢(𝑒𝑒 − 𝜀𝜀, 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀), with 𝑒𝑒 ≥ 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0 and an expected value 𝐸𝐸 [𝑦𝑦�] = 𝑒𝑒. The distribution parameter 𝜀𝜀 can be interpreted as the measurement error of the firm’s GHG emissions. 6 Since the firm’s reported emission level and the optimal emission level defined by law cannot be negative either, we consistently assume 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≥ 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0 and 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 ≥ 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0, respectively. We will derive 𝑒𝑒 ∗ and 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 below. Table 1: Manager’s Tasks tasks 𝑏𝑏 − manager’s effort for business as usual 𝑒𝑒 − absolute level of the firm’s GHG emissions, 0 ≤ 𝑒𝑒 ≤ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 performance indicator 𝑥𝑥� − (traditional) financial performance indicator, 𝑥𝑥� ~ 𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢�𝑏𝑏 − 𝜋𝜋, 𝑏𝑏 + 𝜋𝜋�, 𝐸𝐸 (𝑥𝑥� ) = 𝑏𝑏 𝑦𝑦� − environmental performance indicator, �) = 𝑒𝑒 𝑦𝑦� ~ 𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢𝑢�𝑒𝑒 − 𝜀𝜀, 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀�, 𝐸𝐸 (𝑦𝑦 Both the FPI 𝑥𝑥� and EPI 𝑦𝑦� can be used for contracting because they are assumed to be verifiable. For simplicity, we assume that the manager is unable to manipulate 𝑥𝑥� – which seems plausible if it is a stock price. In the basic model, the manager truthfully reports the environmental performance indicator 𝑦𝑦�. The manager’s decision on GHG emission affects the level of future environmental damages. If the manager does nothing to reduce the GHG emission level, it reaches its maximum level 6 As explained above, the nature of GHG emissions makes their precise measurement very challenging. 9 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 and future damages are 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 then. If there is some effort to reduce GHG emissions, future damages amount to 𝐷𝐷(𝑒𝑒) = 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑥𝑥 . With no GHG emissions there will be no damage. Since environmental damages usually take effect with a considerable time delay 7, we follow Segerson & Tietenberg (1992) and discount the future damages by the factor 𝛿𝛿 (0 < 𝛿𝛿 < 1) to determine their present value. Depending on the liability setting, the firm can be held liable for environmental damages. Since principals and managers are risk-neutral such as in Segerson & Tietenberg (1992), their respective utility functions are reflected by: 𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑥𝑥 − 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) 𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) − 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 2 2 (1a) (1b) In the absence of environmental liability, the principal’s utility 𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 is defined by the financial performance of the firm less the remuneration of the manager 𝑠𝑠 which depends on the performance measures 𝑥𝑥� and 𝑦𝑦�. The manager’s utility 𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 is defined by her salary s based on the indicators for financial and environmental performance minus the disutilities for her “business as usual”-effort and the disutility for her effort to reduce GHG emissions under the maximum level 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . 8 There is a disutility to the manager, e.g. induced by foregone leisure time or simply because she does not like the task or because more emission reduction is more costly and reduces the manager’s budget. The disutilities are each assumed to depend quadratically on the 7 Probably the most severe consequence of GHG emissions, the climate change, is predicted to take it’s full effect “by the late 21st century and beyond”. (IPCC, 2014, p. 8). 8 The maximum level 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 can be interpreted as the level of GHG emissions of the firm which occur when the manager does not do anything to reduce them. 10 particular effort and are expressed in monetary terms through an appropriate unit of the particular disutility parameter, that is, 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 and 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 , respectively. Without loss of generalization, we as- sume the manager to generate a zero reservation wage in an alternative employment. In order to obtain interior solutions, we assume that the manager’s disutility is convex and that her disutility exceeds the present value of maximum damages, 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 > 𝛿𝛿𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . Otherwise it would be socially desirable to avoid any GHG emission. Figure 1: Timeline of events We will analyze how strict liability and a negligence rule will affect the manager’s choice to precisely measure and to correctly report GHG emission levels. With strict liability, the firm, that is, the firm’s shareholders, are held liable whenever GHG emissions cause damages. The firm has sufficient assets to pay damages. The manager is not held liable. 9 With a negligence regime, the firm is held liable if GHG emissions cause damages and, additionally, if the firm 9 The environmental law in the European Union defines a liability of the firm, not of the management (see 2004/35/EG, Art. 8). In principle, corporation law allows shareholders to ask managers for damage compensation if they violated their duties towards shareholders. However, the so-called “business-judgment”- rule makes it difficult to make managers liable (see Reinhardt et al., 2008, Bricker 2013, Told 2015). Moreover, even if the manager would be held liable, she usually has too limited assets to fully cover environmental damages. Thus, with limited assets, the manager’s incentive to prevent environmental damages would not significantly improve. 11 acted negligently, i.e. if the firm failed to meet the standard of due care specified by legal rules. We follow the law and economics literature and assume that the standard of due care is defined by the socially optimal emission level. We will derive the socially optimal emission level in Section 2.3. The court decides on whether due care has been met based on the GHG emission report y which we above assumed to be verifiable. 10 We also assume that victims face zero transaction costs when bringing a lawsuit (Shavell, 2007). If transactions were too high, we would obtain the simple result that victims will not sue, and consequently, that the shareholders and the manager will not care about emission levels in the first place. 2.2 No environmental liability In the absence of environmental liability, the shareholders maximize utility according to (1a) taking into account the manager’s utility function (1b). The shareholders (principal) design a linear compensation scheme of the form 𝑠𝑠 (𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) = 𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 and decide how to choose 𝛼𝛼, 𝛽𝛽 and 𝛾𝛾 before the manager (agent) decides on the action set (𝑏𝑏, 𝑒𝑒) and before the respective performance indicators (𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) realize. Thus, the principal aims to maximize expected utility 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) = 𝑏𝑏 − (𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾) 𝛼𝛼,𝛽𝛽,𝛾𝛾,𝑏𝑏,𝑒𝑒 • (2) with respect to the individual rationality constraint (IR), that is the zero reservation wage the manager could receive in an alternative employment: 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 10 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 ≥ 0 2 2 (3) This implies a mandatory report on GHG emission levels. If neither the manager’s effort to reduce GHG emis- sions (e) nor the EPI y were observable, courts would be unable to find negligent behavior. Again, this in turn will induce shareholders and the manager not to care about emission levels in the first place. 12 • and with respect to the two incentive compatibility constraints (IC 1 and IC 2) that ensure that the manager will take the actions that maximize her expected utility: 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 = 𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏∗ 𝜕𝜕 𝑏𝑏 (4a) 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 = 𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) 𝜕𝜕 𝑒𝑒 (4b) Introducing Lagrange-Multipliers 𝜆𝜆, µ and 𝜐𝜐 for each constraint, yields the following Lagrange function: 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 � 2 2 (5) + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� Solving this optimization problem yields the results summarized in Table 2 (see also appendix A1). The asterisk always marks the individual optimum for the manager’s working effort in the particular scenario. Table 2: Results with no environmental liability 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 GHG emission level environmental compensation contract parameter 𝛾𝛾 = 0 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = expected utility of the principal 1 1 ∙ 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 The consequence of no environmental liability is that the compensation contract ignores envi1 ronmental performance, 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) = − ∙ 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 + 1 ∙ 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥). Consistently, the manager does not do anything to reduce emission levels, GHG emissions reach the maximum level 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . Future environmental damages reach the maximum level 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . 13 2.3 Socially optimal GHG emission level The socially optimal emission level is derived through minimizing the expected social cost function 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸(𝑒𝑒) (Shavell, 2007) which consist of the discounted expected damages from GHG emissions (Segerson & Tietenberg, 1992) and the manager’s disutility to reducing them: 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 (𝑒𝑒) = 𝛿𝛿 𝑒𝑒 1 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 . 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 (6) Optimization yields (see Appendix A2): 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ 𝑑𝑑 = 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 > 0. 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 (7) The social optimum is positive, 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 > 0, if 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 > 𝛿𝛿𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 holds which we assumed in Section 2.1. Comparative statics show that the socially optimal GHG emission level decreases with higher maximum damages 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 and higher discount factors 𝛿𝛿 as well as with lower costs to reduce emissions 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 . 2.4 Strict liability In this scenario, the firm has to pay damages to victims of environmental damages caused by the GHG emissions. Damages need to be paid regardless of how much the manger reduced the emission level. The principals now also consider expected damage payments: max 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝑏𝑏 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝛼𝛼,𝛽𝛽,𝛾𝛾,𝑏𝑏,𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . (8) Recall the assumption that the manager is not held liable, that is, her objective function remains unchanged. Lagrangian optimization yields the results summarized in Table 3. The principal fully bears the cost of environmental damages and thus, designs the compensation contract in a way that the manager fully internalizes the damage payments and thus, chooses the socially 14 optimal emission level 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . Consequently, the remuneration now also depends on the environ- mental performance indicator 𝑦𝑦. Any increase in 𝑦𝑦 reduces the manager’s compensation. Table 3: Results under strict liability (see Appendix A3) 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − GHG emission level environmental compensation contract parameter expected utility of the principal 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑑𝑑 = 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝛾𝛾 = −𝑑𝑑 1 1 1 𝑑𝑑 ∙ − 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 The expected utility of the principal compared to the no liability case decreases by 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 1 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 � > 0. This expression can be interpreted as a kind of agency costs caused by the introduction of strict liability. The manager is “punished” for increasing GHG emissions. However, the principal needs to compensate the manager’s disutility from reducing GHG emissions and thus, increases the fixed salary parameter 𝛼𝛼. This in turn reduces the principal’s expected utility by 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 1 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �. Another important implication of the results in Table 3 is that the noise of the environmental performance indicator as measured by 𝜀𝜀 is not of interest for any of the players. Under strict liability, measurement precision is not important. 2.5 Negligence rule With a negligence regime, the firm is held liable if GHG emissions cause damages and, additionally, if the firm acted negligently, i.e. if the firm failed to meet the standard of due care 15 specified by legal rules. We follow the law and economics literature and assume that the standard of due care is defined by the social optimum (Shavell, 2007). According to (7), the legislator should define a threshold level of the EPI which firms should not exceed: 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . (9) Recall that only the indicator 𝑦𝑦 is verifiable but not the real emissions 𝑒𝑒. Since the EPI on average will reflect the true emission level, 𝐸𝐸�𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � = 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 , 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 might well serve as a benchmark to judge whether emission levels are “too high”. Thus, if there is a damage, the firm only will be held liable, if the environmental performance indicator indicates emission levels exceeding 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . With lower indicated emission levels, there is no liability. Consequently, the principal’s utility function has two sections. 𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = ⎧𝑥𝑥 − 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑦𝑦 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − ⎨ 𝑥𝑥 − 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) − 𝛿𝛿 𝑒𝑒 𝐷𝐷 ⎩ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑖𝑖𝑓𝑓 𝑦𝑦 > 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (10) We first concentrate on the case that the EPI 𝑦𝑦 indicates negligence, that is, 𝑦𝑦 > 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . Recall that the EPI is biased and uniformly distributed between 𝑒𝑒 − 𝜀𝜀 and 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀. Ex ante, the probability that the EPI exceeds the standard level 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 amounts to: P�𝑦𝑦 > 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � = 1 − P�𝑦𝑦 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � = 1 − 𝐹𝐹�𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � = 1 − The expected utility of the principal then reads: 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − (𝑒𝑒 − 𝜀𝜀 ) ≥0 2𝜀𝜀 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ∙ P�𝑦𝑦 > 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ∙ �1 − � 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2𝜀𝜀 𝑒𝑒 (11) (12) Again, Lagrangian optimization is applied to derive the results in Table 4. 16 Table 4: Results under a negligence rule given that liability is possible: 𝑃𝑃�𝑦𝑦 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � < 1 (see Appendix A4) 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − GHG emission level environmental compensation contract parameter expected utility of the principal 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 − ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 ) 𝛾𝛾 = −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) = −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 � 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 + �<0 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 ) 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ∙ − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ � − � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 2 2𝜀𝜀 As is shown in the Appendix A4, the emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ is lower than the socially optimal level 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 and lower than the negligence standard 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . Why should the principal want the manager to voluntarily reduce the GHG emission level more than necessary even though this is costly (due to a higher manager’s disutility)? The reason is that the environmental performance indi- cator 𝑦𝑦 is not perfect and might indicate high emission levels even though real (but unverifiable) GHG emissions do not exceed the social optimum. This type 1 error makes the firm liable even though it actually did not do wrong. Since the manager’s compensation is reduced by the principal’s liability payments, the noise in the EPI 𝑦𝑦 matters. In accordance to the basic principal- agent literature (e.g., Holmström & Milgrom 1991, Lothe & Myrtveit 2003) we find that the manager’s compensation becomes more sensitive to the EPI the more precise the EPI gets. 11 Lower real emission levels than required by the standard will make it less likely that the EPI wrongly indicates negligence. The type 1 error decreases as well as the damage payments related to it. As long as the reduced expected damage payments exceed the additional managerial costs of reducing real emission levels it makes sense to reduce emission levels below the standard level required by law. Thus, in contrast to strict liability, the negligence rule tends to induce excessive care due to the imprecise measurement of real emission levels. 11 𝜕𝜕𝛾𝛾 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 > 0, i.e. with smaller 𝜀𝜀 (more precise EPI) 𝛾𝛾 decreases, but because 𝛾𝛾 < 0 it’s absolute value increases. 17 Reducing real GHG emissions pays more with a more precise EPI, i.e. lower values of 𝜀𝜀. With a smaller measurement error, it is more likely that the EPI will correctly reflect lower real emis- sions and that the principal can escape liability. This is also shown by comparative statics (see Appendix A5): 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ >0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 (13) if 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 , 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 > 0. Thus, with lower measurement error, there will be lower real emission levels in equilibrium. The principal’s expected utility also increases with lower measurement error: 𝜕𝜕𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑑𝑑 ∙ 𝑒𝑒 ∗ =− ∙ �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ � ≤ 0. 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 2 ∙ 𝜀𝜀 2 (14) The important insight here is that in contrast to a strict liability rule, the firm’s shareholders have an interest in higher precision of the environmental performance indicator. Given that the measurement error can be reduced and the real emission level is not too high, there must be the case that the EPI never indicates negligence. In mathematical terms, we know from (13) that the real emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ decreases if the measurement error 𝜀𝜀 decreases. Thus, there is an 𝜀𝜀̂ below which the belonging 𝑒𝑒�∗ is so small that 𝑒𝑒�∗ + 𝜀𝜀̂ ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 holds for sure and, as a consequence, liability can be ruled out. The point when P�𝑦𝑦 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � = 1 holds determines the threshold 𝜀𝜀̂ below which liability is ruled out (see Appendix A5): 𝜀𝜀̂ = − 3𝑑𝑑 1𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �1 + 8 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 4𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 4𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 (15) Thus, we complement the principal’s expected utility function from relation (12) by the nonnegligence case and make it depend on the threshold measurement error 𝜀𝜀̂. 18 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = � 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝜀𝜀̂ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑 ∙ 𝑒𝑒 ∙ �1 − � 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝜀𝜀 > 𝜀𝜀̂ 2𝜀𝜀 (16) The second part of this utility function has already been analyzed (see (14)). For analyzing the first part, which implies no negligence and no liability, the principal’s expected utility in equilibrium results to:12 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙. 2 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 ∗ 2 = ∙ − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ) = ∙ − � + 𝜀𝜀� 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (17) Again, the principal’s expected utility increases the more precise the EPI gets: 𝑑𝑑 𝜕𝜕𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙. = 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 � + 𝜀𝜀� < 0. The reasoning is the same as before. The lower is the measurement error of 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 the environmental performance indicator 𝑦𝑦, the less the manager needs to reduce the real emis- sion level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ in order to avoid negligence. Consequently, the principal saves the managerial cost of reducing the real emission level. Following this argumentation, the principal reaches the highest expected utility for the most precise GHG emission report. Then, 𝜀𝜀 = 0 is valid and the real emission level equals the so- cially optimal level, i.e. 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . As a consequence, the maximum principal’s expected utility 1 is achieved, when there is no measurement error, 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙.,𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = ∙ 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 − 1 𝑑𝑑2 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 . Analogously, the maximum measurement error, 𝜀𝜀 = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 , minimizes the principal’s expected 1 utility (see Table 4): 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛,𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = ∙ 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 . This minimum expected utility under negli1 gence still exceeds the principal’s expected utility under strict liability, 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠𝑠 = ∙ 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 − Figure 2: Principal’s expected utility under a negligence rule depending on the measurement error of the environmental performance indicator, EU P (ε) 12 Optimization is restricted by the “no-negligence-constraint” 𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . In equilibrium, this constraint holds as an equality. See Appendix A5. 19 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 1 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �. The reason is that under a negligence rule there is a chance to escape liability when damage occurs while there is none under strict liability. Figure 2 illustrates how the prin- cipal’s expected utility in equilibrium depends on the measurement error of the EPI and also shows the lower and constant expected utility with strict liability. Figure 3 illustrates the relation between measurement error of the EPI and the real emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ in equilibrium. This relation is non-monotonic. As long as 𝜀𝜀 does not exceed the thresh- old level 𝜀𝜀̂, the manager chooses the real emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ in a way that liability is ruled such that 𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝜀𝜀 = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 is fulfilled. Thus, with higher error 𝜀𝜀, the real emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ decreases in equilibrium. However, if the measurement error exceeds the threshold level 𝜀𝜀̂, the manager cannot avoid the firm’s liability. This changes the incentives for the real emission level. Since higher measurement errors reduce the marginal benefit for further real GHG emission reduction, there is less of an incentive to reduce real emission levels. Note, however, that due to the measurement error of the EPI, a negligence regime generally induces lower real GHG emission levels than a strict liability rule and lower than would be socially optimal. 20 Figure 3: Real GHG emission levels in equilibrium depending on the measurement error of the environmental performance indicator, 𝑒𝑒 ∗ (𝜀𝜀) Result 1: Strict liability provides efficient incentives to reduce GHG emissions but does not induce the manager to precisely measure GHG emissions. With a negligence regime, precision of GHG emission measurement becomes important. With more precise measurement it is less likely that the measurement device reports non-tolerable GHG emissions even though real emission are lower and not indicating negligence. Due to this type-1-error, real GHG emission levels are generally lower than the socially optimal emission level. 3. Model extension: incentives for GHG reporting manipulation 3.1 Change in assumptions As pointed out above, both the nature of GHG emissions and the discretion provided by existing reporting guidelines makes the verification of the GHG emission reports very difficult. Consequently, managers and/or shareholders might take advantage of those verification problems. We therefore now delete the assumption of the basic model that the manager truthfully reports 21 the environmental performance indicator 𝑦𝑦. Instead, we introduce a third activity of the manager in 𝑡𝑡 = 1, namely emission reporting manipulation or reporting manipulation 𝑖𝑖. Higher levels of emission reporting manipulation tend to lower reported GHG emissions: 𝐸𝐸 [𝑦𝑦] = 𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖. (19) We assume 0 ≤ 𝑖𝑖 ≤ 𝑒𝑒. 13 Reporting manipulation induces a disutility for the manager which needs to be added to her utility function in (1b) and which implies a forth restriction for the optimization problem: 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 = −𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ∗ 𝜕𝜕 𝑖𝑖 (20) Similar to the other two manager’s actions, we assume 𝑖𝑖 not to be verifiable. Contracts still can only be made based on the EPI 𝑦𝑦 or FPI x. Otherwise, there is symmetric information. There is a downside of reporting manipulation which is expected reputation losses in markets. There is evidence that firms suffer significant reputation losses in capital markets for financial misrepresentation. 14 We might also expect negative reactions in product markets because costumers are not willing to buy the firm’s products anymore. 15 We assume that expected reputation losses increase with the extent of emission reporting manipulation: 13 14 Consequently, we also adjust the assumption on the measurement error: 𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖 ≥ 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0. For instance, Karpoff et al. (2008) found that 585 firms targeted by SEC enforcement actions for financial misrepresentation from 1978 to 2002 lost 38% of their market value on average; about two thirds of the loss can be attributed to the loss of reputation. Interestingly, 61% of the firms were not sued, but still suffered a significant reputation loss. There is less quantitative evidence on the reputation losses of managers. In order to keep the model simple, we assume only firms to suffer from reputation losses. 15 We can imagine other negative consequences, such as fines or other sanctions imposed by public authorities. 22 𝑅𝑅 ∙ 𝛿𝛿 ∙ 𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = 𝑟𝑟 ∙ 𝑖𝑖 (21) where 𝑅𝑅 is the maximal future reputation loss; 𝛿𝛿 is a discount factor. The following sections analyze the incentives for GHG emission reporting manipulation under strict liability as well as under negligence. We will distinguish between the subcases where there is a reputation loss and where there is none. We do not analyze the case of no liability since obviously there is no incentive to manipulate GHG emission reports when there is no liability. 3.2 Emission reporting manipulation under strict liability We adjust the manager’s utility function for the additional disutility related to the reporting manipulation activity. 16 The principal needs to consider a possible reputation loss. In the absence of possible reputation losses (𝑅𝑅 = 0), the resulting manipulation level in equi- librium is positive, 𝑖𝑖 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑+𝑐𝑐 . As one can expect, manipulation pays more with higher damage 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 payments and decreases with the cost parameters 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 and 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 . Since the manager manipulates the reported emission level 𝑦𝑦, she is able to raise the real GHG emission level accordingly. Thus, real GHG emissions are higher than in the initial strict liability model. 16 1 1 1 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾(𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖) − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏 2 − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 2 23 Table 5: Results with emission reporting manipulation under strict liability No emission reporting manipulation principal’s objective function individual optima: GHG emission level and manipulation level environmental compensation contract parameter expected utility of the principal in equilibrium 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 ∗ 𝑒𝑒 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑐𝑐 = 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑒𝑒 2 Emission reporting manipulation and reputation loss 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾(𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖) − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾(𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖) − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 − 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑐𝑐 + 𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝛾𝛾 = − 𝑐𝑐 𝛾𝛾 = −𝑑𝑑 1 Emission reporting manipulation, but no reputation loss 1 1 𝑑𝑑 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2 𝑐𝑐 � 𝑒𝑒 𝑏𝑏 1 2 1 𝑑𝑑 − 2 𝑖𝑖 ∗ �1 − 𝑖𝑖 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 1 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 1 2 � − 𝑟𝑟 1 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 (𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) � − � 𝑐𝑐 𝛾𝛾 = 𝑐𝑐 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2 𝑐𝑐 � 𝑏𝑏 𝑟𝑟 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑐𝑐 + 𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖 + = (𝑟𝑟𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 2𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ∗ �𝑐𝑐 − 𝑐𝑐 � − 𝑏𝑏 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖 ∗ 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 The principal will anticipate reporting manipulation and will reduce the responsiveness of managerial compensation to the EPI. Thus, the absolute value of the compensation parameter 𝛾𝛾 is now lower than before. 17 Compared to the model without manipulation, the expected utility of the principal is reduced by 𝑑𝑑 ∗ 𝑖𝑖 . 2 The principal anticipates that the firm’s real emissions 𝑒𝑒 ∗ are higher than without manipulation which results in higher future damage compensation. If the principal suffers from reputation losses, the manager will be less inclined to manipulate the EPI. There will be no report manipulation with sufficiently large reputation losses, i.e.: 18 17 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 18 < 𝑑𝑑 holds because of 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 < 1. An interesting implication of this corner solution is that the GHG emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ will be expanded to its maximum, 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . That’s the only way for the firm to truthfully commit that they did not manipulate and therefore should not be blamed for emission reporting manipulation through a reputation loss. 24 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 ≤ 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 (22) Given that (22) does not hold, the manipulation incentive is mitigated but does not disappear. Under this assumption, 𝛾𝛾 remains negative but its absolute value decreases compared to the situation without reputation loss. The principal anticipates that the manager manipulates the GHG emission report. To achieve lower manipulation levels, the principal allows some more units of GHG emissions because otherwise the manager’s incentive compatibility constraints would not be met and the manager would not sign the compensation contract. As a consequence, the principal weakens the relation between the manager’s remuneration and the EPI by reducing the absolute value of 𝛾𝛾. Not surprisingly, reputation losses reduce the principal’s expected utility even more. 19 Thus, under strict liability, the principal should be interested in using manipulation-proof environmental performance indicators. Consistently with prior analysis under strict liability, the measurement error, 𝜀𝜀, is not relevant. 3.3 Emission reporting manipulation under a negligence regime Under a negligence regime, only the principal’s expected utility differs to the case of strict liability. The manager’s expected utility does not change nor do the constraints of the optimization problem. 19 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ 𝑅𝑅.𝐿𝐿. < 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑅𝑅.𝐿𝐿. < 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑖𝑖 25 Table 6: Results with emission reporting manipulation under a negligence regime No emission reporting manipulation principal’s objective function individual optima: GHG emission level and manipulation level environmental compensation contract parameter expected utility of the principal in equilibrium 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 −𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 �1 − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −𝑒𝑒+𝜀𝜀 2𝜀𝜀 Emission reporting manipulation, but no reputation loss � 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2𝑐𝑐 − 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒+𝑑𝑑) 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 +𝑑𝑑) 1 1 ∙ 2 𝑐𝑐 − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 1 −𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ �2 − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −𝑒𝑒 ∗ 2𝜀𝜀 � 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 1 1 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 (𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 + ) 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒) 𝑏𝑏 2 − 1 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 (𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + (𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 +𝑐𝑐 ) 𝑒𝑒 )(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖) 𝑖𝑖 = (𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 ) + 2(𝑐𝑐 2𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒2 𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒)(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 − 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 𝛾𝛾 = − 2(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 − 2(𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖+𝑐𝑐 ) ) 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 2(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖) + (𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + � 1 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 −𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 2𝜀𝜀 2𝜀𝜀 − 2𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 ∗ 2 � �1 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −𝑒𝑒+𝑖𝑖+𝜀𝜀 � −𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 �1 − 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 ) 2(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 −𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ �2 − � 𝑒𝑒) 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝛾𝛾 = − 2 𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 � 2𝜀𝜀 𝑒𝑒 (𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝑖𝑖 = 𝛾𝛾 = −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �2𝑐𝑐 + 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −𝑒𝑒+𝑖𝑖+𝜀𝜀 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 ∗ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 −𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 �1 − − 2𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 −𝛾𝛾(𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖) Emission reporting manipulation and reputation loss 2 1 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒)(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖) 1 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 1 1 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 �𝑐𝑐 + 𝑐𝑐 � 𝑏𝑏 1 −𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ �2 − 𝑐𝑐 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 � − 𝑟𝑟 𝑐𝑐 (𝑒𝑒 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) 𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 2𝜀𝜀 𝑒𝑒 −𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) 𝑖𝑖 Table 6 summarizes the results under a negligence regime for three different scenarios: (a) when there is no reporting manipulation, (b) when there is manipulation, and no reputation loss of the principal due to manipulation, (c) when there is manipulation and a reputation loss of the principal. First, we analyze the results without reputation loss. In order to keep the interpretation of results simple, we will assume in the following the cost parameters to be equal: 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 = 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 = 𝑐𝑐. This simplification does not affect qualitative results but allows us to highlight the impact of the liability regime and of reputation losses. In the absence of reputation losses, in equilibrium there is reporting manipulation (𝑖𝑖 ∗ is greater than 0) and consequently, real GHG emissions increase. Those findings are qualitatively the same as under strict liability. 26 � 𝑖𝑖 What is different to strict liability is that the principal may benefit from GHG emission reporting manipulation. Recall, that with a negligence regime, the principal only pays damage compensation when she is found negligent which in turn depends on what the EPI reports. Since the EPI is the only verifiable measure of real GHG emissions, manipulation of the EPI reduces the probability of being held liable. Thus, the principal benefits from emission reporting manipulation given that 2𝑑𝑑 > 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 holds, i.e. if the incremental future damage is sufficiently large. If 2𝑑𝑑 ≤ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 holds, manipulation still can make sense as long as the GHG emission report is sufficiently precise, i.e. 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝜀𝜀̅. 20 Here, we need to talk about the link between EPI precision and incentives to manipulate. Less precise indicators, that is higher values of 𝜀𝜀, lead to less emission reporting manipulation activity, 𝜕𝜕𝑖𝑖 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 < 0. The reason is that less precise measurement techniques reduce the marginal benefit of manipulation activities. Recall that under strict liability, manipulation incentives were not tied to 𝜀𝜀. Thus, under a negligence rule, more precise measurement techniques imply higher marginal benefits for the manipulation activity. As a consequence, for less precise measurement techniques, 𝜀𝜀 > 𝜀𝜀̃, manipulation does not pay off for the principal. This is an interesting result: If (a) the firm’s shareholders suffer from sufficiently high damage compensation and/or (b) the measurement technique is sufficiently precise, the shareholders benefit from the manager’s manipulation activities under a negligence regime. 20 𝜀𝜀̅ is defined as the threshold error for which the principal’s expected utility with GHG emission reporting ma- nipulation is the same as without reporting manipulation: 𝜀𝜀̃ = −𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 + �𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 2 − 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑐𝑐 2 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 27 Result 2: When we allow for GHG emission reporting manipulation, the manager is inclined to manipulate reports which in turn impairs the need to reduce real GHG emissions. Thus, emissions increase and so do future damages. Under strict liability, the firm’s shareholders are fully responsible for damages and thus, they are worse-off when GHG reporting manipulation is possible. In contrast, under a negligence regime, the firm’s shareholders may benefit from GHG reporting manipulation since this reduces the likelihood of being held negligent and of damage compensation payments. This “benefit” is higher, the more precise the GHG measurement is. When we introduce a reputation loss, we obtain analogous results to the findings under strict liability: The level of reporting manipulation 𝑖𝑖 ∗ decreases while real GHG emissions 𝑒𝑒 ∗ in- crease. Because the principal anticipates the possible future reputation loss through the emission reporting manipulation, the contract design will induce the manager to reduce manipulation. However, this comes up with the cost of higher real GHG emission levels in equilibrium in order to meet the manager’s incentive compatibility constraints. How to induce the manager not to manipulate the emission report and to reduce real GHG emissions? 3.4 Punitive damages One way out might be punitive damages, that is, when the firm’s shareholders are held liable in excess of the environmental damage. Punitive damages are expected to provide stronger incentives to reduce GHG emissions. We therefore now assume that the present value of damage compensation equals 𝜔𝜔𝜔𝜔 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 where 𝜔𝜔 > 1 reflects the punitive character. As a consequence, the firm’s emissions 𝑒𝑒 ∗ which are specified in the right column of Table 6 (negligence, reporting manipulation, and reputation losses) depend on 𝜔𝜔𝜔𝜔 instead of 𝑑𝑑. It can 28 be shown that with higher punitive damages, GHG emissions in equilibrium decrease, that is, 𝛿𝛿𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝛿𝛿𝛿𝛿 < 0. 21 Given that in the absence of punitive damages, reputation losses induce the manager to choose GHG emission levels beyond the socially desirable level, there must be one 𝜔𝜔 which ensures the efficient GHG emissions. Since 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜔𝜔 < 0 and 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ > 0, we get 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 < 0, such that more punitive damages makes the man- ager’s compensation more sensitive to 𝜔𝜔 (recall that 𝛾𝛾 < 0). Consistently, the fixed salary 𝛼𝛼 increases, since 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) ≤ 022 and consequently, 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜔𝜔 ≥ 0. There is also an indirect effect of punitive damages on real emission levels. Other things being equal, punitive damages induce the manager to manipulate emission reporting more which in turn tends to increase real emission levels. The direct effect on reducing emission levels is stronger, though, such that 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜔𝜔 < 0. We know from the model without reporting manipulation (Section 2.5) that a negligence rule may provide excessive incentives to reduce GHG emissions due to the type-1-error of the measurement device. This is quite the opposite problem to the one above. Consequently, in such as setting, the regulator may want to appropriately limit liability in order to increase GHG emissions to the efficient level, thus, 0 < 𝜔𝜔 < 1. ∗ 21 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 𝜕𝜕𝜔𝜔 = −𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀(𝑐𝑐(2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 +𝜀𝜀)+𝑑𝑑+2𝑟𝑟) 4(𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀+𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑)2 < 0 because 𝑑𝑑, 𝑐𝑐, 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 , 𝑟𝑟, 𝜔𝜔 > 0 and also 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0. Even if we relax the assumption 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 = 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 = 𝑐𝑐 and allow for 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ≠ 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 , we obtain 22 𝛿𝛿𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝛿𝛿𝛿𝛿 < 0. In the model with reporting manipulation 2𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≥ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 must hold, otherwise the expected EPI would be negative which does not make sense: 𝐸𝐸[𝑦𝑦] = 𝐸𝐸[𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖] = 𝑒𝑒 ∗ − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) = 2𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ≥ 0. 29 Result 3: If the firm suffers from sufficiently big reputation losses when manipulating GHG emission reports, managers will not engage in reporting manipulation under either liability regime. However, this comes up with the cost of higher real GHG emissions. Appropriately defined punitive (environmental) damages will mitigate the problem of excessive GHG emissions. Thus, in the presence of reputation losses, the regulator should introduce punitive damages. 4. Conclusion How does the liability regime for environmental damages induce the manager to precisely measure and to truthfully report GHG emissions? These questions are important for properly governing GHG emissions, especially since there is considerable technical and legal discretion on the measurement and reporting of GHG emissions. This is the first paper highlighting the interaction between the environmental liability regime and GHG emission reporting incentives. This paper adopts a principal-agent-model where a manager decides on real GHG emission levels and on the extent of manipulating reported GHG emission levels. Real GHG emission levels are assumed not to be verifiable, but reported GHG emission levels are. We allow for three liability regimes: no liability, strict liability and a negligence rule. With strict liability, the firm is held liable whenever GHG emissions cause damages. With a negligence regime, the firm is held liable if GHG emissions cause damages and, additionally, if the firm acted negligently, that is, failed to meet the standard of due care specified by legal rules. If there is no reporting manipulation, we find that a strict liability rule tends to provide efficient incentives to reduce GHG emissions. However, a strict liability rule does not induce the manager to measure GHG emissions as precisely as possible. With a negligence regime, however, 30 it is important to know whether the firm’s GHG emissions exceed the standard level allowed by law or not. With more precision on GHG emission measurement it is less likely that the measurement device reports non-tolerable GHG emission levels even though real emission are lower and not indicating negligence. Due to this type-1-error, real GHG emission levels are generally lower than the socially optimal emission level. When we allow for GHG emission reporting manipulation, the manager is inclined to manipulate reports which in turn impairs the need to reduce real GHG emissions. Thus, emissions increase and so do future damages. Under strict liability, the firm’s shareholders are fully responsible for damages and thus, they are worse-off when GHG reporting manipulation is possible. In contrast, under a negligence regime, the firm’s shareholders may benefit from GHG reporting manipulation since this reduces the likelihood of being held negligent and of damage compensation payments. This “benefit” is higher, the more precise the GHG measurement is. Thus, overall, we find that while a negligence regime better encourages more precise GHG emission measurement than strict liability, it also provides stronger incentives for manipulation. Regulatory bodies may still be able to capture the benefit of a negligence rule (incentives for more precise GHG emission measurement) while mitigating its negative effect on reporting manipulation – given that the financial and/or product markets sufficiently penalize the firm by reputation losses and that there are punitive damages. Thus, regulatory bodies might want to set up a public register for firms that have proven to report manipulated GHG emission levels. There are also limitations to mention. We do not thoroughly analyze the impact of manager’s personal liability and do not explicitly allow for manager’s capacity constraints. Basic analyses suggest that qualitative results may not change too much, though. Moreover, we assume that victims do not bear transaction costs to bring a lawsuit while in fact these costs are positive. This would add a third player and require a game-theoretical extension. 31 5. References Literature Boyer, M. and Porrini, D. (2011): “The impact of court errors on liability sharing and safety regulation for environmental / industrial accidents”, International Review of Law and Economics, Vol. 31(1), pp. 21–29. Bricker, M. (2013): “The arbitral judgment rule: using the business judgment rule to redefine arbitral immunity.” Texas Law Review, Vol. 92(1), pp. 197-229. 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Online Resources Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz, Bau und Reaktorsicherheit (2015): “Nationale Klimapolitik”, retrievable under: http://www.bmub.bund.de/themen/klima-energie/klimaschutz/nationale-klimapolitik/ (27.10.2015, 11:20) European Commission (2015 a): „Europa-2020-Ziele“, retrievable under: http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/europe-2020-in-a-nutshell/targets/index_de.htm (22.10.2015, 12:10) European Commission (2015 b): „The EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) “, retrievable under: http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/ets/index_en.htm (22.10.2015, 12:25) European Commission (2015 c): „Structural reform of the European carbon market “, retrievable under: http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/ets/reform/index_en.htm (27.10.2015, 11:30) 35 Appendix A1: Results under No Liability Table A 1: Results without Liability Lagrange-Multipliers manager’s actions compensation contract parameter Expected Utility 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝜐𝜐 = 0 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 1 1 𝛼𝛼 = − ∙ 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝛾𝛾 = 0 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 ∗ − 𝛼𝛼 = 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 1 1 ∙ 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 First, it can be noticed that IC 1 and IC 2 are not binding because the Lagrange-Multipliers become zero. This is not surprising because, without risk aversion of one player, the first-best contract can be achieved 23. The manager’s actions cannot be observed directly by the principal, but without risk aversion the principal can implement a forcing contract. The manager is always pushed to her zero reservation utility by the fixed salary part 𝛼𝛼 - such that a deviation from her optimal actions 𝑏𝑏 ∗ and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ , expressed by IC 1 and IC 2, does not change her expected utility and the Lagrange-Multipliers become zero. Second, since the principal is assumed to bear no liability costs, emissions will reach the max1 imum level 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . The compensation contract has the form of 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) = − ∙ 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 23 + 1 ∙ 𝑥𝑥 = 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥). See e.g. Holmström (1979), Feltham & Xie (1994) or Segerson & Tietenberg (1992). 36 A2: Socially optimal emission levels The expected social cost of GHG emissions reads 1 𝑒𝑒 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸(𝑒𝑒) = 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 + 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷 2 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 (A 1) First partial derivative: 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 1 = 0 = −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒) + 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 (A 2) Proof of the sufficient condition: 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 2 = 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 > 0 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝜕𝜕 2 𝑒𝑒 (A 3) Rearranging the first partial derivative: (A 4) 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 1 𝑑𝑑 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 A3: Results under strict liability The principal’s objective function under strict liability is: max 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝛼𝛼,𝛽𝛽,𝛾𝛾,𝑏𝑏,𝑒𝑒 The resulting Lagrange-Function is reflected by: 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 − 𝑈𝑈� 2 2 + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − (A 5a) (A 5b) 37 Optimization yields the results summarized in Table A 2. IC 1 and IC 2 are again not binding because the particular Lagrange-Multipliers become zero. Also the manager’s effort for “business as usual” does not change because the liability payments only depend on the emission level. The manager chooses the socially optimal emission level 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 derived in 2.3. Table A 2: Results under Strict Liability Lagrange-Multipliers manager’s actions compensation contract parameter Expected Utility 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝜐𝜐 = 0 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑑𝑑 = 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 1 1 𝑑𝑑 𝛼𝛼 = − ∙ + 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝛾𝛾 = −𝑑𝑑 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 𝑏𝑏 ∗ − 𝛼𝛼 = 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 1 The compensation contract is 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) = − ∙ 1 1 1 𝑑𝑑 ∙ − 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 + 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 1 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 � + 1 ∙ 𝑥𝑥 − 𝑑𝑑 ∙ 𝑦𝑦. With higher absolute values of 𝑦𝑦, the manager gets less compensation. Because 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 1 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 > 0 holds, the fixed part of the salary, 𝛼𝛼, increases in comparison to the no liability case. Fixed salary increases in order to compensate for the manager’s disutility from decreasing emission levels. The increase in fixed salary decreases the principal’s expected utility implying higher agency cost. A4: Results under negligence given that liability is possible, 𝑷𝑷�𝒚𝒚 ≤ 𝒚𝒚𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐 � < 𝟏𝟏 The expected utility of the principal reads: 38 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ∙ P�𝑦𝑦 > 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ∙ �1 − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀 � 2𝜀𝜀 (A 6a) In analogy to the case of strict liability and no liability the Lagrange function follows as: 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝜀𝜀 � 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑥𝑥 2𝜀𝜀 1 1 + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 − 𝑈𝑈� 2 2 + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� 𝑒𝑒 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛿𝛿 𝐷𝐷𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ∙ �1 − (A 6b) The results of the Lagrange optimization are summarized in Table A 3. Table A 3: Results under Negligence (when liability is possible: 𝑃𝑃�𝑦𝑦 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � < 1) Lagrange-Multipliers manager’s actions compensation contract parameter Expected Utility 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝜐𝜐 = 0 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 − 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑) 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝛼𝛼 = − ∙ + �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 2 � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 𝛾𝛾 = 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ) = −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 � + � 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑) 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = ∙ − − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ � − � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 2 2𝜀𝜀 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − Again IC 1 and IC 2 are not binding, just as in the case of strict liability and no liability. The 1 compensation contract has the form of 𝑠𝑠(𝑥𝑥, 𝑦𝑦) = − ∙ 1 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 2 � + 1 ∙ 𝑥𝑥 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ) ∙ 𝑦𝑦. The optimal contract depends on the firm’s emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ in equilib- rium. The parameter 𝛾𝛾 is again negative because 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ) < 0. The link between the 39 manager’s compensation and the EPI – as reflected by 𝛾𝛾 – becomes stronger the more precise the EPI gets. Moreover, the following relations hold: 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≥ 0. Proof of (A 6c): 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ > 0 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 , 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 > 0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 (A 6c) (A 6d) (A 6e) The firm’s emission level in equilibrium is defined by: 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 2 �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝜀𝜀� 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 If 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 would be valid: 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 �= 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − − � 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑) 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 ↔ 𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 ≤ 0 Inserting 𝑒𝑒 ∗ and multiply with 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑: Rearranging: 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝜀𝜀� − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 ≤ 0 2 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 � − �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 + 𝜀𝜀� ≤ 0 2 (A 7a) (A 7b) (A 7c) (A 7d) 𝑑𝑑 Inserting 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑐𝑐 : Rearranging: 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + Multiplying with 2/𝑑𝑑: 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 � − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − + 𝜀𝜀� ≤ 0 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 2 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀 − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + − ≤0 2 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 2𝜀𝜀 − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 𝑑𝑑 − 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 0 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (A 7e) (A 7f) (A 7g) 40 Rearranging: 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑐𝑐 = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . (A 7h) 𝑒𝑒 Since we assume 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑒𝑒𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 , also 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 holds. q.e.d. Proof of (A 6d), 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ≥ 0 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 2 �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝜀𝜀� 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 (A 8a) If 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 is valid, all mathematical terms in (A 8a) will be positive per definitionem. As a consequence, 𝑒𝑒 ∗ has to be positive, too. Proof of (A 6e), 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 >0 First partial derivative: 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 − 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑) 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 ∙ 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 = > 0 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 )2 q.e.d. (A 9a) (A 9b) q.e.d. Derivate of the principal’s expected utility under negligence: 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ∙ − 𝑈𝑈 − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ � − � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 2 2𝜀𝜀 First partial derivative with respect to 𝜀𝜀: (A 10a) 41 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝑑𝑑 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) ∙ − ∙ + 𝑑𝑑 ∙ + 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 2 𝜕𝜕𝜀𝜀 2𝜀𝜀 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 ∙ 2𝜀𝜀 − �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ � ∙ 2 � ∙� 4𝜀𝜀 2 (A 10b) With: 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 ∙ 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 = 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 )2 (A 10c) Inserting (A 10c) and simplifying: 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 = −𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ ∙ ≤0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 2 ∙ 𝜀𝜀 2 (A 10d) because 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 ≥ 𝑒𝑒 ∗ is valid (see Proof of (A 6c)) and 𝑑𝑑, 𝑒𝑒 ∗ , 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 , 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0. A5: Results under negligence given that there is no liability, 𝑷𝑷�𝒚𝒚 ≤ 𝒚𝒚𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐𝒐 � = 𝟏𝟏 Determination of the threshold measurement error 𝜺𝜺� that ensures no liability. With no liability, it must hold: Inserting 𝑒𝑒�∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑑𝑑 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒�∗ + 𝜀𝜀̂ =1 2𝜀𝜀̂ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 2(𝜀𝜀�𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑑𝑑) 𝜀𝜀̂ 2 + (A 11a) and rearranging: 3 𝑑𝑑 1 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀̂ − 𝑦𝑦 = 0 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 (A 11b) Solution approach for quadratic equations and rearranging: 𝜀𝜀̂1,2 = − 3 𝑑𝑑 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �1 + 8 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ± 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 (A 11c) 42 − 1 𝑑𝑑 �1 + 8 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 drops because 𝜀𝜀̂ ≥ 0. Check whether 𝜀𝜀̂1 = − 3 𝑑𝑑 + Whereas 𝜀𝜀̂2 = − 3 𝑑𝑑 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐 1 𝑑𝑑 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑐𝑐 �1 + 8 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ≥ 0 is valid: 3 𝑑𝑑 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �1 + 8 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ≥ 0 + 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �−3 + �1 + 8 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 � ≥ 0 4 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 �1 + 8 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 ≥3 𝑑𝑑 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 ≥1 𝑑𝑑 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 This is valid because of the assumption 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 > 𝑑𝑑. q.e.d. Principal’s expected utility 𝐄𝐄𝐄𝐄𝐏𝐏 under the “no-liability-constraint” 𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 Since the manager receives the reservation utility of zero, and there are no damage payments, the principal receives the financial income minus the manager’s disutility for her working effort regarding the business as usual task and the emission reducing task. This leads to an expected utility of the principal of: 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙. 2 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 ∗ )2 ( = ∙ − 𝑒𝑒 − 𝑒𝑒 = ∙ − � + 𝜀𝜀� 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (A 12) Table A 4 summarizes the results with regard to the equilibrium emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ and with regard to the principal’s expected utility for the case where the principal will not be found negligent and the case where liability is possible. 43 Table A 4: Equilibrium emission level 𝑒𝑒 ∗ and principal’s expected utility with no liability under negligence and with liability under negligence 𝟎𝟎 ≤ 𝜺𝜺 ≤ 𝜺𝜺�: no liability under negligence 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝜀𝜀, 1 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 1 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙. = 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝜕𝜕𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙. 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 𝑑𝑑 �𝑐𝑐 + 𝜀𝜀� 𝑒𝑒 2 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 = 𝜕𝜕𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑑𝑑 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝑒𝑒 1 1 𝑑𝑑2 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙.,𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑈𝑈 − 2 𝑐𝑐 − 𝜀𝜀 = 𝜀𝜀̂ and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒�∗ 1 𝑏𝑏 1 𝑒𝑒 1 𝑑𝑑2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 𝜀𝜀̂ 2 for 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛 𝑙𝑙.,𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑈𝑈 − 2 𝑐𝑐 for 𝜀𝜀 = 0 and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 = −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �𝑐𝑐 + 𝜀𝜀� < 0 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2𝑐𝑐 − 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 , +𝑑𝑑) = −1 < 0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜺𝜺 > 𝜺𝜺�: liability possible 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑∙𝑐𝑐 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 = 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 >0 +𝑑𝑑)2 𝑒𝑒 2 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 1 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ � ∙ − � + 𝜀𝜀� − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ � − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 2𝜀𝜀 𝑑𝑑∙𝑒𝑒 ∗ = − 2∙𝜀𝜀2 ∙ �𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ � < 0 1 1 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 for 𝜀𝜀 = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1 1 1 𝑑𝑑2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛,𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑈𝑈 − and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑏𝑏 2 𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛𝑛,𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 = 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 𝑈𝑈 − 2 𝑐𝑐 − 𝜀𝜀̂ and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒�∗ 𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒 2 𝜀𝜀̂ 2 for 𝜀𝜀 = A6: Emission Reporting manipulation under Strict Liability The manager’s emission reporting manipulation influences the utility function of the manager through the additional disutility of the corresponding working effort: 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾 (𝑒𝑒 − 𝑖𝑖 ) − 1 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 2 ≥ 𝑈𝑈 = 0 2 2 2 (A 13a) The individual rationality constraint (IR) follows directly from equation (A 14a). The incentive compatibility constraints (IC 1 and IC 2) have to be complemented by one more equation for the action 𝑖𝑖 (IC 3): 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 0 = 𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏∗ 𝜕𝜕 𝑏𝑏 (A 3b) 44 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 (A 13c) = 0 = 𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) 𝜕𝜕 𝑒𝑒 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 (A 13d) = 0 = −𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ∗ 𝜕𝜕 𝑖𝑖 Summarizing this relations into a Lagrange function via introducing the additional Lagrange multiplier 𝜑𝜑 for IC 3 yields: 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 2 2 (A 13e) 1 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 2 − 𝑈𝑈� + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� 2 + 𝜑𝜑(−𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ) Optimization leads to the results in Table A 5. Table A 5: Results under Strict Liability and Emission Reporting manipulation LagrangeMultipliers manager’s actions No Reputation Loss Reputation Loss 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝜐𝜐 = 𝜑𝜑 = −𝑖𝑖 ∗ 1 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝑟𝑟 𝜐𝜐 = 𝜑𝜑 = −𝑖𝑖 ∗ − 𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 1 1 1 𝑑𝑑2 𝛼𝛼 = 𝑈𝑈 − ∙ + ∙ 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 �𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − � + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 2 𝑖𝑖 ∗ = compensation contract parameter Expected Utility 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 𝛾𝛾 = − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 1 1 1 𝑑𝑑 � 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = ∙ − 𝑈𝑈 − 𝑑𝑑 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 − 𝑖𝑖 ∗ 2 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑈𝑈 𝑖𝑖 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � 𝑖𝑖 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − �∙� − 1� 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑟𝑟𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑐𝑐 (𝑐𝑐 1 𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 1 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 = 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 � − � 𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 𝑟𝑟 𝛼𝛼 = 𝑈𝑈 − 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 + 𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 �𝑐𝑐 − 𝑐𝑐 � �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 1 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 � − �� 𝑐𝑐 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝛾𝛾 = 𝑐𝑐 𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 1 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 (𝑟𝑟𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 ∙ − 𝑈𝑈 − 𝑖𝑖 ∗ � − � − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 − 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖 ∗ 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑈𝑈 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 = IC 2 and IC 3 now become binding because of the exchange relationship between 𝑒𝑒 and 𝑖𝑖24. The business as usual task is not influenced so that 𝑏𝑏∗ and 𝛽𝛽 remain. In comparison to the initial 24 Deviation from the optimal solutions in Table A 5 influence the expected utilities because i is not contractible. 45 strict liability model, the resulting emission level raises by exactly this manipulation level. Thus, the expected value of the EPI 𝑦𝑦 remains at the optimal level 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 . The principal antici- pates that the manager manipulated and so she reduces the proportion of the manipulated salary part 𝛾𝛾 25. As a consequence, the fixed salary parameter 𝛼𝛼 can be reduced too: because the pun- ishment for high values of 𝑦𝑦 is now lower than before, the principal can reduce 𝛼𝛼 and still push the manager’s expected utility to the reservation wage. The range of the EPI, 𝜀𝜀, is again neither important for the principal nor the manager, just as in the previous analysis of strict liability. If the detection of the manipulation is possible, the reputation loss will affect the expected utility function of the principal and the Lagrange function will be: 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 − 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 2 2 1 𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖 2 − 𝑈𝑈� + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� 2 𝑖𝑖 + 𝜑𝜑(−𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ) − (A 13f) The results of this optimization problem are already included in Table A 5. The introduction of a reputation loss reduces the level of emission reporting manipulation in equilibrium 𝑖𝑖 ∗ because the cost parameters and 𝑟𝑟 are positive. Looking closely at 𝑖𝑖 ∗ and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ reveals the additional necessary assumption 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟 > . Then, 𝛾𝛾 remains negative but its absolute value decreases compared 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 to the situation without reputation loss. To reduce the level of emission reporting manipulation, the principal accepts higher levels of GHG emissions. As a consequence, she weakens the relation between the manager’s compensation and the emission level by reducing the absolute value of 𝛾𝛾. Therefore, she can also reduce the value of the fixed parameter 𝛼𝛼. The expected 25 Again, this fits with general results from agency theory which are presented in the beginning: Linking compen- sation to performance measures works better the “better” (seemingly also “non-manipulable”) the performance measures are (e.g. Holmström & Milgrom (1991), Gabel & Sinclair-Desgagné (1993), Lothe & Myrtveit (2003)). 46 utility of the manager is still pushed to her reservation wage. As one could expect, the introduction of the reputation loss into our model lowers the expected utility of the principal even more 26. A7: Emission Reporting manipulation under Negligence Under negligence, the definition of emission reporting manipulation 𝑖𝑖 as well as the expected utility of the manager do not change so that the constraints of the optimization problem are the same as before. Only the expected utility of the principal is affected so that the Lagrange function follows as: 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝑖𝑖 + 𝜀𝜀 � 2𝜀𝜀 1 1 + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝑒𝑒 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 2 2 1 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 2 − 𝑈𝑈� + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� 2 + 𝜑𝜑(−𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ) 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 �1 − (A 14a) Table A 6 summarizes the results of this optimization problem. The Lagrange multipliers reveal no surprising results. Only the absolute value of 𝜐𝜐 and 𝜑𝜑 changed. Also 𝑏𝑏 ∗ and 𝛽𝛽 do not change, which is comprehensible. In accordance with the results under strict liability, the GHG emission level in equilibrium 𝑒𝑒 ∗ increases and the emission reporting manipulation in equilibrium 𝑖𝑖 ∗ is greater than 0. Both activity levels in equilibrium depend on the range of the EPI, 𝜀𝜀. Compared to the situation without emission reporting manipulation, 𝛾𝛾 decreases 27 so that again the linkage between the EPI 𝑦𝑦 and the manager’s compensation is weakened, just as it was observed under strict liability. Here again the principal lowers the fixed salary part 𝛼𝛼 because she does not need 26 27 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ 𝑅𝑅.𝐿𝐿. < 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑅𝑅.𝐿𝐿. < 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤𝑤ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 𝑖𝑖 because 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 <1 47 to compensate the manager’s punishment for GHG emissions that much. As always in this setting, the manager is pushed to her reservation wage. Table A 6: Results under Negligence and Emission Reporting manipulation LagrangeMultipliers manager’s actions compensation contract parameter No Reputation Loss Reputation Loss 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝜆𝜆 = 1 µ=0 𝑟𝑟 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜐𝜐 = 𝜑𝜑 = −𝑖𝑖 ∗ − 𝑐𝑐 + 2𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 𝜐𝜐 = 𝜑𝜑 = 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − − 2(𝑑𝑑 + 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ) 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑖𝑖 ∗ = + 2𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 (𝑑𝑑 + 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ) 2(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) ∗ 1 1 1 𝛼𝛼 = 𝑈𝑈 − ∙ + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 2 � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 ∗ 2 �𝑒𝑒 − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 � − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝛾𝛾 = − Expected Utility 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ − 𝑖𝑖 ∗ 2𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑 − 2(𝑑𝑑 + 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ) 2(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 1 1 = ∙ − 𝑈𝑈 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ 2 � �1 + � 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ∗ ∗) (𝑒𝑒 𝑦𝑦 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗� � − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 − 2 2𝜀𝜀 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑈𝑈 𝑖𝑖 1 𝑏𝑏 ∗ = 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑖𝑖 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 − 2(𝑑𝑑 + 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ) 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + (𝑑𝑑 + 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 )(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 ∗ 𝑖𝑖 = � + (𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖 ) − (𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 )(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ) 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 2(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 1 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 1 � 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖) 𝑒𝑒 1 1 𝛼𝛼 = 𝑈𝑈 − 2 ∙ 𝑐𝑐 − 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 �𝑐𝑐 + 𝑐𝑐 � + 𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒∗ 𝛽𝛽 = 1 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 𝜀𝜀𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒2 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 𝛾𝛾 = − 2(𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 − 2(𝑐𝑐 𝑖𝑖+𝑐𝑐 ) + (𝑑𝑑+𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐 ) 𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒 𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒 )(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖) 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑃𝑃 1 1 1 1 1 = ∙ − 𝑈𝑈 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 � + � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ∗ ∗) (𝑒𝑒 𝑦𝑦 − 𝑒𝑒 + − 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 1 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑒𝑒 ∗� � − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 − 2𝜀𝜀 2 𝑟𝑟 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ) 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝐸𝐸𝑈𝑈 𝑀𝑀 = 𝑈𝑈 The difference between the principal’s expected utility with emission reporting manipulation and the initial one under negligence reveals opposed effects: a cost effect and a liability effect. The cost effect consists on the one hand of the savings through higher emission levels so that the costs for emission reduction decrease. On the other hand, the principal has to bear the costs for the manager’s emission reporting manipulation activity. These costs exceed the savings so that all in all the cost effect is negative. On the contrary, the manager’s manipulation reduce the EPI 𝑦𝑦 so that the costs for future damages for the firm decrease. Which of both effects domi- nates depends on two aspects: if 2𝑑𝑑 > 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 holds, i.e. if the incremental future damage is 48 sufficiently high, the liability effect dominates and the overall effect will be positive 28. If 2𝑑𝑑 ≤ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 holds, i.e. if the incremental future damage is sufficiently low, the liability effect will still dominate as long as the GHG emission report is sufficiently precise, i.e. 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝜀𝜀̃. Above this threshold, the reports are so imprecise that the liability effect does not dominate any longer. Thus, the overall effect becomes negative 29. The mathematical derivation follows. Proof of 𝑬𝑬𝑼𝑼𝑷𝑷 𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘 𝑹𝑹.𝑳𝑳. < 𝑬𝑬𝑼𝑼𝑷𝑷 𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘𝒘 𝒊𝒊 if (a) 𝟐𝟐𝟐𝟐 > 𝒆𝒆𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒎𝒎 𝒄𝒄 or (b) 𝜺𝜺 ≤ 𝜺𝜺�: The difference between the principal’s expected utility without reputation loss and the one in the initial model without the manager’s possibility of manipulation is: 𝛥𝛥𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 = 1 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ∙ − 𝑈𝑈 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 − (𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥)2 ) �1 + � 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐 ∗ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − (𝑒𝑒 + 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥) + 𝑒𝑒 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − (𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥)� 1 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 � (A 15a) − 𝑑𝑑 (𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥) � − 2 2𝜀𝜀 1 1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 1 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ − � ∙ − (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 ∗ )2 − 𝑑𝑑𝑒𝑒 ∗ � − �� 2 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 2 2 2𝜀𝜀 where 𝑒𝑒 ∗ is the individual optimal emission level in the initial negligence model 𝑒𝑒 ∗ = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 − 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2(𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑑𝑑 ) (A 15b) and 𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝛥𝛥𝑒𝑒 is the individual optimal emission level in the manipulation model. 𝑒𝑒 ∗ + 𝛥𝛥𝛥𝛥 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 28 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 − 2(𝑑𝑑 + 𝜀𝜀𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 ) 2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 + 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 ) (A 15c) This result is intuitive: If the possible consequences of being liable are serious, the firm benefits from manipu- lating the indicator which would convict them to be guilty. 29 If the indicator gets too imprecise, the firm cannot rely on the manipulations to save them from liability. High values of 𝜀𝜀 go hand in hand with high emission levels which in turn enhance the expected future damage costs. The liability effect does not outweigh the cost effect anymore and the overall effect becomes negative. 49 Moreover, we assume for simplifying the analysis: 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 = 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 = 𝑐𝑐 (A 15d) Inserting these relations in (A 15a), simplifying and rearranging yields: 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 𝑐𝑐 1 𝑑𝑑 � 𝛥𝛥𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 = − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 − (𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 + 𝑑𝑑 ) � − �� 8𝑐𝑐 (𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 + 𝑑𝑑 ) 𝜀𝜀 2 2𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 𝑃𝑃 (A 15e) This expression is greater than zero if 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 𝑐𝑐 1 𝑑𝑑 − 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 − (𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 + 𝑑𝑑 ) � − �>0 𝜀𝜀 2 2𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐 (A 15f) because 𝑑𝑑, 𝑐𝑐 > 0 per definitonem. Rearranging (A 15f) yields: 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 2 𝜀𝜀 2 + 2𝜀𝜀 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � − 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 + � � < 0 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 (A 15g) Obviously, the left side of this expression raises with 𝜀𝜀. Consequently, it reaches it’s highest value for 𝜀𝜀 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 Rearranging: 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 because 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − . Inserting this in (A 15g) leads to: 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 2 2 − � + 2 �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − � �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � − 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � � < 0 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 < 2𝑑𝑑 (A 15h) (A 15i) If this relation holds, 𝛥𝛥𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 > 0 holds even for the greatest possible value of 𝜀𝜀. But also in the case that 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 ≥ 2𝑑𝑑 is valid, 𝛥𝛥𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 > 0 can hold. Because the left side of (A 15g) raises with 𝜀𝜀 there will be a certain 𝜀𝜀̅ above which the left side of (A 15g) exceeds zero. Then, (A 15g) does not hold anymore and as a consequence 𝛥𝛥𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 becomes negative. This threshold can be determined via setting the left side of (A 15g) to zero: 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 2 2 𝜀𝜀̅ + 2𝜀𝜀̅ �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � − 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � � = 0 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 2 (A 15j) 50 Solution approach for quadratic equations: 𝜀𝜀̅1,2 Rearranging: 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 2 𝑑𝑑 2 2 � = − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � ± �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − � � 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 (A 15k) 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀̅1,2 = − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � ± �3𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 Because 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0 and 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 , 𝑑𝑑, 𝑐𝑐 > 0 the second solution drops: 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 𝜀𝜀̅ = − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � + �3𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 Checking whether this solution is allowed in terms of the domain of 𝜀𝜀 ≥ 0: 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � + �3𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ≥ 0 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 �3𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 ≥ 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 2 3𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 ≥ �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐 2 𝑑𝑑 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 ≥ � � 𝑐𝑐 which holds for every 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑥𝑥 , 𝑑𝑑, 𝑐𝑐 because we assumed 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 > 𝑑𝑑. 2 To sum up, there are two conditions under which 𝛥𝛥𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸 𝑃𝑃 > 0 holds: (a) 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐 < 2𝑑𝑑 or 𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑 (b) 𝜀𝜀 < 𝜀𝜀̅ = − �𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + � + �3𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 2 + 2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 . 𝑐𝑐 Results under Negligence, with Reputation Loss 𝑐𝑐 The Lagrange function equals: 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝑖𝑖 + 𝜀𝜀 � − 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 2𝜀𝜀 1 1 + 𝜆𝜆 �𝛼𝛼 + 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)2 2 2 1 2 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 − 𝑈𝑈� + µ(𝛽𝛽 − 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏) + 𝜐𝜐�𝛾𝛾 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒)� 2 + 𝜑𝜑(−𝛾𝛾 − 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑖𝑖 ) 𝐿𝐿 = 𝑏𝑏 − 𝛼𝛼 − 𝛽𝛽𝛽𝛽 − 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 + 𝛾𝛾𝛾𝛾 − 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 �1 − (A 16a) 51 The results of this optimization problem are included in Table A 6. As one would expect, the Lagrange multipliers as well as the business as usual activity in equilibrium 𝑏𝑏∗ and the corresponding compensation parameter 𝛽𝛽 remain unaffected. To ensure positive values of the manager’s emission reporting manipulation activity in equilibrium, again one condition has be fulfilled: 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑟𝑟 𝑑𝑑 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 + 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 + 𝜀𝜀 + 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 < � � 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 2𝜀𝜀 This is always the case because for 𝜀𝜀 ≤ 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − greater than 1. Thus, if the assumption of 𝑟𝑟 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 < 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (A 16b) the expression in brackets is always holds, equation (A 16b) is always fulfilled. The introduction of reputation loss in this model does not change the fact that more precise environmental indicators induce lower emission levels 𝑒𝑒 ∗ but higher emission reporting manip- ulation levels 𝑖𝑖 ∗ in equilibrium 30. Again, in correspondence to the results under strict liability, the absolute value of 𝛾𝛾 is reduced and thereby also the value of the fixed salary parameter 𝛼𝛼. The manager’s expected utility is pushed to her reservation utility. Given that the expected reputation loss is not that crucial that any emission reporting manipulation is deterred, i.e. 𝑑𝑑 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 < , the difference between the principal’s expected utility with emission reporting manipulation and reputation loss and her expected utility with emission reporting manipulation but without reputation loss is always negative. That means, in a situation when the manager can manipulate the GHG emission report, the firm does not want the public to get to know this. This results seems to be intuitive. Moreover, for every 𝑟𝑟 ≥ 0 the difference between the principal’s expected 30 because 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 > 0 and 𝜕𝜕𝑖𝑖 ∗ 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 <0 52 utility with emission reporting manipulation and reputation loss and the one in the initial negligence model is also always negative. Hence, if there was a chance that the public can punish the firm for manipulated emission reports through reputation loss, e.g. if there is an adequate verification process, the firm would be better off with a system where the manipulation of GHG emission reports is impossible per se. A8: Linear Capacity Constraint Introducing a linear capacity constraint, that limits the manager’s maximum working effort, 𝜅𝜅, which has to be shared between the two tasks through adding the following constraint to the optimization problem: 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝑒𝑒 + 𝑏𝑏 ≤ 𝜅𝜅 (A 17a) Adding this constraint to the Lagrange function (A 5b) or (A 6b) through the Lagrange-Multiplier φ leads in deed to a reaction function regarding the tasks 𝑏𝑏 and 𝑒𝑒: Table A 7: Results under Introducing a Linear Capacity Constraint Strict Liability (1) Reaction Function (2) First Derivative of the Reaction Function (3) b’s reaction on 𝜅𝜅 (binding linear capacity constraint) (4) e’s reaction on 𝜅𝜅 (binding linear capacity constraint) (5) 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 < 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 (binding linear capacity constraint) (6) 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 > 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 (binding linear capacity constraint) 𝑏𝑏(𝑒𝑒) = 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 (𝑒𝑒−𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 )+𝑑𝑑+1 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐 = 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑏𝑏 𝑏𝑏(𝜅𝜅) = − 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 = − 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 = 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒 −𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝜕𝜕𝑒𝑒 < 0, 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 < 0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 > 0, 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 > 0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 −𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝜅𝜅+𝑑𝑑+1 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 −𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑐𝑐 𝑑𝑑 𝑏𝑏 𝑑𝑑 1 − 𝑐𝑐 �2 − 𝑏𝑏 1 𝑏𝑏 𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 2𝜀𝜀 𝑒𝑒 1 + 𝜀𝜀 � + 𝑐𝑐 𝑏𝑏 2(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒𝜅𝜅𝜅𝜅+𝜀𝜀)+𝑑𝑑(2𝜅𝜅−2𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑥𝑥 +𝜀𝜀�𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 −1�) 𝑐𝑐 𝜀𝜀+𝑑𝑑 = (𝜀𝜀(𝑐𝑐 𝑒𝑒+𝑐𝑐 𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒(𝜅𝜅) = 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒(𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 −𝑒𝑒) = − 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 − 𝑐𝑐 ∙ 𝜀𝜀 𝑏𝑏(𝜅𝜅) = 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑏𝑏 −𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑏𝑏(𝑒𝑒) = 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝜅𝜅−𝑑𝑑−1 𝑒𝑒(𝜅𝜅) = 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 − 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 Negligence 2(𝜀𝜀(𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 +𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒)+𝑑𝑑) 𝑒𝑒 )+𝑑𝑑) 𝜀𝜀(−2𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝜅𝜅+𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 +2𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 𝑒𝑒𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚𝑚 −𝑑𝑑+2)+𝑑𝑑𝑦𝑦𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 = 𝜀𝜀(𝑐𝑐 −𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 𝜀𝜀 2(𝜀𝜀(𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 )+𝑑𝑑) 𝑒𝑒 +𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 )+𝑑𝑑 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 > 0, 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 < 0 𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕 > 0, 𝜕𝜕𝜅𝜅 < 0 53 In principle, all pairs of (𝑏𝑏, 𝑒𝑒) that satisfy these reaction functions are possible results of how the manager could split her maximum working effort. But by defining the parameters of the compensation contract 𝛼𝛼, 𝛽𝛽, 𝛾𝛾 the principal can influence the manager which of these possible pairs she has to choose. The case of sufficient capacity is trivial because the principal would induce her expected utility maximizing efforts (𝑏𝑏∗ , 𝑒𝑒 ∗ ). Inserting the results from Table A 7, line (1) and (2), into the principal’s expected utility function (8) or (12) and subsequently maximize it, leads to this insight in a mathematical way. A binding capacity constraint leads to individually optimal working efforts that depend on the maximum available working effort 𝜅𝜅 in accordance with line (3) and (4) of Table A 7. As lines (5) and (6) show, the relation of the cost parameters 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 and 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 determine which task will be preferred if the maximum available capacity changes under strict liability. E.g. if 𝑐𝑐𝑒𝑒 < 𝑐𝑐𝑏𝑏 and the maximum available capacity is reduced, the manager will shift her effort to the emission reducing action because this task is cheaper for her and vice versa. Under negligence, both actions will be reduced or expanded simultaneously if the maximum available capacity, 𝜅𝜅, is reduced or expanded. The reduction of the GHG emissions in this case lowers the probability of getting liable and thereby induces more utility to the principal. Thus, in equilibrium the manager will not reduce the working effort for one task unilaterally, if 𝜅𝜅 is reduced, but she will reduce the effort for both tasks simultaneously. This brief analysis shows that a binding linear capacity constraint links both tasks of the manager through the maximum available working effort 𝜅𝜅. In equilibrium, the resulting working efforts for each task then depend on this 𝜅𝜅. We could include this interaction into the analysis’ of our paper but that would shift the attention away from the initial research question – how does the introduction of environmental liability affect the quality of GHG emission reporting – to the question of how the manager splits her working effort in different scenarios. 54
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