A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 Integrated Journal of Engineering Research and Technology Content Available at www.ijert.co IDENTIFICATION OF TSUNAMI RISK AREA USING GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SYSTEMS & REMOTE SENSING (A CASE STUDY OF WELIGAMA COASTAL BELT AREA, SRI LANKA) Anusha Wijesundara*1, Manjula Ranagalage2 1. National Aquatic Resources Research & Development Agency, Sri Lanka. 2. Department of Social Sciences, Rajarata University of Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka. ABSTRACT A tsunami is a natural coastal hazard generated in the deep ocean as a result of an earthquake, volcanic activity, submarine landslide or Article History: meteoritic impact. The 26 December 2004 earthquake off the west coast of Sumatra, Indonesia generated one of the deadliest tsunami in Received onhistory. It demolished the coastal areas of Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India, 30 Sep 2014 and Thailand, as these Asian counties located shadow zone of this Accepted ontectonic belt. Over thirty thousand loss their lives and also millions of 2nd Sep 2014 worth extensive property damage because lacking of adequate knowledge and preparedness for such an infrequent but a powerful event. As Sri Lanka situated in a shadow zone of the earthquake Corresponding Author: generated belt preparedness is very important factor. Early warning and evacuations based on inundation maps are the Manjula Ranagalage most strategic ways to minimize the massive loss of life and damages Lecturer, Department of to the property in risk community. The study focused towards Social Sciences, Rajarata creation of a Tsunami risk map for Weligama area. The numerical simulation of tsunami inundation was carried out using Com MIT University of Sri Lanka, model with the major input parameters of earthquake source Sri Lanka parameters, topography and bathymetry data. EmailThe December 2004 Sumatra Earthquake source parameters were manjularanagalage@gmail.com used for generation, propagation, and coastal amplification of the tsunami waves and finally the inundation extent and water level was obtained to prepare large scale action maps on tsunami inundation to protect the coastal communities. The GIS tool has been used to incorporate the tsunami inundation depth to prepare the final tsunami risk map. Reliability of model results was compared with the field data and a high resolution Quick Bird image, which was taken just after the 26th December 2004 earthquake. The results from this study will be useful for delineation of evacuation routes long – term planning and implementing activities to reduce impacts of tsunami in future. KEYWORDS: Tsunami Inundation Mapping, Natural Disaster Response, Numerical Simulation. INTRODUCTION Tsunami is a series of large waves of generated by a violent, impulsive undersea extremely long wavelength and period usually disturbance or activity near the coast or in the 161 A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 ocean (Ramy, 2005). In the deep sea, it is inundation information allows determining propagate with high speed and the low wave level of vulnerably associated with coastal amplitude. At the same time wave amplitude belt. Risk assessment process requires the use is rapidly increasing and converts in to killer of mathematical models to simulate the waves and inundates low-lying coastal areas generation, the propagation across the ocean, resulting and eventually, the inundation for historical mass destruction. When the tsunami waves reach shore, speed of the or hypothetical source. waves decrease according to the topography 1.1 Background of the study of the sea bed. Tsunami waves are mainly Tsunamis are a major concern to the Pacific formed with the sudden displacement of islands and Asian coastal nations because seabed due to an underwater earthquake. In they may occur at any time, with little or no the deep sea, it propagates with a high speed warning, and with destructive force. During and low wave amplitude. When the tsunami the past decade, more people have died from waves reach the shore, the speed of the waves tsunamis than from hurricanes, earthquakes, decreases according to the topography of the and floods combined. A tsunami is caused seabed. At the same time, the wave amplitude when there is a disturbance deep under the increases rapidly and converts into killer ocean such as an earthquake, volcano or a waves and inundate low-lying coastal areas, landslide. An underwater earthquake is the resulting in mass destruction. most common cause for a tsunami, but not In order to reduce the impact of tsunamis, it just any underwater earthquake causes a is thorough tsunami. The earthquake needs to be a large understanding of the area at risk, its enough earthquake of around 7.0 magnitudes population, infrastructure, and pattern of or bigger. land use. In order to reduce the impact of Sri Lanka experienced its worst natural tsunamis, it is beneficial to have a thorough disaster on the 26th of December 2004 one of understanding of the area at risk, its the hardest hit countries in terms of loss of population, infrastructure, and pattern of life, land use. Early warning and evacuations estimates stand at more than 31000 lives lost, based on inundation maps are the most over 4000 missing and 1 million affected. strategic ways to minimize massive loss of life These are staggering numbers for any and risk country, but especially for Sri Lanka when community & most countries now start to they are compared in relative terms and the prepare disaster prevention plans. Therefore capacity to recover (Herath, 2008). The it is important to prepare large scale action reconstruction should take place based on an maps on tsunami inundation incorporating assessment of risks and appropriate measures land use details using a GIS tool. Hazard to minimize losses from a future similar assessment disaster. Although the frequency of Tsunami beneficial damages to to have the studies a property integrated in with 162 infrastructure and assets. Current A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 in Sri Lanka is very small, should avoid was badly hit by tsunami waves and is highly rebuilding the same disaster. To assess risks, affected to the fisheries sector as there is a accurate representation of topography when major fishery harbour called Mirissa located inundation impacts on people are considered. close to the bay of Weligama. The tsunami Therefore it is necessary to step up tsunami resulted in major, but great damages to the awareness effects such as tsunami forecasting Weligama area infrastructure & assets and methods lost massive of lives. and inundation maps at risk Under tsunami communities in Sri Lanka. Properly prepare inundation mapping along Weligama coast an against the threat of tsunami inundation, thus integrated approach is adopted to identify the saving lives and protecting property. It is vulnerable areas. helpful with The main objective of this study is to integrate population density and Land use information a tsunami simulation model and remote & Disaster management activities. sensing data with the available topographic 1.2 Statement of the Problem data using a GIS tool for Tsunami inundation Any natural Hazard results to a disaster mapping and risk mapping to identify the depending upon its magnitude of the impact. disaster risk to provide facility for decision Natural makers to understand an evacuation planning for risk hazard analysis such process as an undersea earthquake may cause a Tsunami hazard to & in public education & awareness activities. the coastal land region resulting in a disaster, 1.4 Prior Knowledge damaging property and people. Since such Inundation maps are depictions of coastal type of natural hazards cannot be controlled, areas that identify regions, populations, and they and facilities that are at risk from tsunami attack, precautionary/safety planning can be done which could be used by emergency planners along the coastal regions to safeguard from for the damages. The assessment of Tsunami Inundation maps require an assessment of impact over the people and property was local and far-field geologic hazards, and the important for planning the relief actions. calculation Hence the requirement for the Tsunami 2008). Numerical simulations are useful tools Disaster Mapping to identify the Tsunami for analyzing tsunami propagation, coastal affected for planning purpose is the essential amplification and inundation (Alpar et al, exercises for managing future. 2006). The numerical simulation of tsunami 1.3 Justification of the Study inundation was carried out using TUNAMI can be monitored The tsunami impact study is disaster of response coastal and mitigation. flooding (Kumar, N2 model. The major input parameters for undertaken along coastal belt of Weligama area, which is the located at latitude 05º 51’ 14.697” N -05º 58’ parameters, topography and bathymetry data. 6.541”N and longitude 80º 34’ 57.477” E to The December 2004 Sumatra Earthquake 80º 22’ 7.139” E respectively. The study area source parameters were used for generation, 163 model were earthquake source A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 propagation, and coastal amplification of the tsunami waves and finally the inundation extent and depth were obtained for Galle city parameter for quantification of level of (Borah, 2007). The shallow water wave damage caused by tsunami (Imamura, 2001). equations are governing equations behind the These depth ranges were chosen for hazard model. It uses a nested grid of topographic analysis because they are approximately and bathymetric elevations and calculates a knee-high or less, knee-high to head-high, wave elevation and velocity at each grid point and more than head-high (Timothy et al. at specified time intervals to simulate the 2004). generation from Sumatra source, propagation 1.4 Study Area through Ocean and finally inundation at land The tsunami impact study is undertaken (Imamura, 1995). To establish a cost effective along the coastal belt of Weligama area, method and a quick determination of factors which is approximately 35 km long including that influence damage intensity in tsunami the Weligama bay in the South coast of Sri prone the Lanka (Figure 01). This area was badly hit by preparatory or causal controlling factors the 2004 December tsunami waves and is using remote sensing and GIS methodology currently involved in large development (Willige, 2006). Tsunami intensity scale reconstructions activities. areas, one must analyze considers inundation depth as one of the vital Figure 1: Weligama Coastal Region. 1.5 Data and Materials Used Digital Data – Land use data, 1:5000 building Bathymetry Data - Single beam shallow water layer, Road network bathymetric data Demographic Data - Census data (2001) from GEBCO 30 sec. data Central Bureau of Statistics, Sri Lanka Data can be analysed and processed by using the Topographic data - LIDAR following softwares: 1:10,000 contours ArcGIS 9.3,ComMIT Numerical Model, Hypack Gold 4.3,PDS 2000, CARIS GIS 4.4, Auto CAD 2007, 2008, ERDAS Imagine 9.2, Global Mapper, Surfer 82.0. SRTM data Satellite Images- Quick Bird images (before and after the 2004 Tsunami event) 164 A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 METHODOLOGY 2.1 Data Preparation scenario that was relevant to the 2004 The run-up of the tsunami on to land is the Sumatra earthquake. It uses a three-nested most undeveloped part of the tsunami model, grid of bathymetry and topography. A primarily because of the lack of the two major combination of high-resolution bathymetric types of data i.e the high quality field and topographic data was used for the inner measurements for testing of the models and grid, which covers the entire study area while fine resolution bathymetric & topographic GEBCO and SRTM data were used for the data (Titov, 1997). Hence, in this study, all other two grids. Models calculated the available local and global bathymetric data, velocity at each grid point at specified time topographic data and Lidar data were brought intervals to simulate the generation from the into the world geodetic coordinate system Sumatra source, propagation through the (WGS 84) and merged together to generate Ocean the Digital Terrain Model (DTM). By using (Imamura et al., 1995). Krigging method, data was interpolated for 2.3 Inundation Map, Hazard Map and creation the three nested grids with both Risk Map Creation bathymetric and topographic data. Using The GIS environment has been used to DTM, all undesirable elevations and depths incorporate and analyse the maximum wave were removed and converted into ASCII grid run-up. According to the results, maximum format for propagation and the Tsunami wave run up “NetCDF” raster file used to numerical tsunami prepare the inundation map of the study area. inundation, maximum wave height, wave The computed inundation depth is classified speed, and reflection in the Weligama coastal into four ranges for quantification of level of area. (Figure 02) hazard damages. The physical characteristics 2.2 Tsunami Numerical Modelling of the coastal area (land use and population) The ComMIT Numerical model was used for and the built environment in the area identifying the tsunami propagation, coastal considered to determine the vulnerability. A amplification and inundation. The model was risk to a natural event is defined as the developed by Vasli Titov at the NOAA centre mathematical product between vulnerability for tsunami research, based on non-linear and hazard; it refers to the expected loss from shallow a given hazard to a given element at risk. modelling water to equations study and governing equations. A magnitude of 9.2 on the Rictour scale and 1200 km length of fault rupture were used as parameters of the earthquake 165 115 and finally, inundation at land A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) Topographic Data LiDAR Data Contours (from 1:10,000 & 1:50,000 Map Sheet ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 Co-ordinate System Transformation Bathymetric Data Coastline, offshore & near shore bathy Nautical charts GEBCO Data Preparation Data Merging Convert to Raster Data Interpolation Convert to ASCII Tsunami Modelling Out Put Travel Time Run-up height & Inundation Distance Model Output (Senario) ARC GIS Inundation Map (Digital) Hazard Map (digital) Risk Map (Digital) Vulnerability Map (Land use, Population Density) Disaster Risk Figure 2. Flow diagram of the methodology. 3.0 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION The inundation depth is one of the most distribution along the Weligama coastal belt important parameters for analysing the level and the tsunami wave height was estimated at of damage due to tsunami. Figure 03 3-4 m along the coastline. In this study, the indicates the computed inundation depth inundation depth, which is given by the 166 116 A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 model, was classified into four levels; 0-0.5 Weligama city to find the affected areas due m, 0.5-1.0 m, 1.0- 2.0 m and greater than 2 to Tsunami. m, using the Arc GIS tool for identifying By using the weighted overlay method find hazard out the risky areas in three stages like low, zones. Figure 04 indicates the Tsunami hazard map in the Weligama Bay moderate and high risk (Figure 05). area. According to the results of the tsunami affect Vulnerability is defined as the potential for in 2004, it can be realized that the area which damage while hazard, for a Tsunami event, is was identified as the risky by the tsunami defined as the wave height. In order to modeling, was greatly affected and lost examine the vulnerability in relation to land massive of lives and damaged to the property. use used. Hence, Preparation of tsunami inundation Vulnerability maps recognize sectors within maps is very important for delineation of the selected areas that are highly vulnerable evacuation routes and long term planning in to a maximum tsunami run-up and flood vulnerable event. The inundation map integrates with provide early warnings to take precautions to land use based population density map of protect from any kind of natural hazards. and population density was coastal communities Figure 3: Inundation Depth Distribution in Weligama Bay Area. 167 169 and to A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 Figure 4: Tsunami Hazard Map in Weligama Bay Area. Figure 5: Risk Map. 168 171 A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) The results show the high hazard zone covering a larger area of the Weligama Bay and the coastline. The Quick Birds Satellite image clearly shows the damaged areas in the ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 Weligma Bay (Figure 06) and overlay analysis has given a clear representation to evaluate the results given by the ComMIT numerical model. Figure 6: Tsunami Affected area in Weligama Bay. 4.0 CONCLUSION The Tsunami numerical model was used for and accuracy of the DTM. Understanding the incor- vulnerability and hazard level, identification porating high-resolution near-shore bathy- of possible mitigation measures, of the socio- metric and topographic data to model the economic impact caused by the event is very 2004 tsunami event. The results shows that important to evaluate the level of the risk. the areas in Weligma Bay are in a high Tsunami risk assessment is performed in the tsunami hazard risk area due to its low study area incorporating tsunami hazard, elevation and topography. The validation of population the model results with field surveyed data on information. The risk map shows 97.61 % of the 2004 tsunami event shows an 80 % match the study area falls in very high risk zone with the field observations. Accuracy of the while 1.735 % falls in moderate and the rest Tsunami hazard prediction depends on the 0.65 % falls in low hazard zone. The estimation of earthquake source parameters inundation modeling used for tsunami hazard tsunami hazard assessment, 169 171 and land use vulnerability A. Wijesundara et al., Integer. J. Engg. Res. Tech. Vol 1 (5) ISSN NO. 2348 – 6821 assessment incorporates high resolution near economic impact caused by the event is very shore bathymetry and LIDAR (Light Angle & important to evaluate the level of the risk. Detection Ranging) to model the December Tsunamis are unpredictable events and 2004 tsunami inundation even. increasing the uncertainty of preventive The study reveals that integration of remote action, contribute to a very low social memory sensing, GIS and demographic data with on these phenomena that is inversely related numerical inundation model is quite useful with a high demand for decision criteria for tsunami risk assessment studies. GIS tools based on scientific knowledge. This method is provide the useful for tsunami risk assessment while the management of the possible disasters. The local authorities can use it for early warning results output can be validating with the and evocation purposes by creating different ground truth data to identify the reliability of earthquake the tsunami numerical model. The hazard contribute in reducing tsunami damage and map makers planning mitigation measures in future. a scientific facilitates to approach decision to to scenarios. The study could understand an evacuation planning & in ACKNOWLEDGEMENT public education & awareness activities & We would like to pay our obligation to provides indication to demarcate suitable acknowledge the wisdom and consent of sites Understanding generous people who have helped me to vulnerability and hazard level, identification complete the project report successfully. for rehabilitation. of possible mitigation measures, of the socioREFERENCES 1. Borah R., Rajapaksha J., Hazarika M. K., Samarakoon L., 2007. Tsunami Risk Assesement of Galle City, Sri Lanka Integrating Numerical Model with Remote Sensing & GIS Data. www.aars-crs. org/ acrs /proceeding/ACRS 2007/papers/TW2.1.pdf. 2. Department of Census and Statistics, 2005. Preliminary Report on Census of Buildings and Persons Affected by the Tsunami –2004, Hambantota, Sri Lanka. 3. Herath S., 2008. Post Tsunami Survey for Hazard Map Preparation in Sri Lanka. 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