シラバス - 一橋大学経済研究所

科目名
開発経済論 (Development Economics)
"Development Microeconomics & Microeconometrics, II"
期間 2014/15, First Semester, Tuesday (08:50-10:20)
担当者 (Instructor)
黒崎 卓 (Takashi Kurosaki)
Phone: 042-580-8363 (direct), Fax: 042-580-8333 (office)
E-mail: kurosaki@ier.hit-u.ac.jp, Home page: http://www.ier.hit-u.ac.jp/~kurosaki/
Office hours: Tuesday 12:30-14:30 or by appointment
[授業概要(Course overview)]
本講義は、応用経済学としての開発経済学の手法を身につけるための大学院レベル発展講義であ
る。経済発展論に関する概観、開発の成果の計測に関する理論・実証、ミクロ経済学に基づいた
理論モデルの構築とそれを現実の途上国経済に応用するための定量分析手法などについて、「ハ
ウスホールドモデル」と概観される手法を中心に学ぶ。前年冬学期の「開発政策論」受講を前提
に講義を行う。This course is an intermediate course of the graduate level development economics. The
focus is on the microeconomic and microeconometric approach. It covers applied economic tools such as
theoretical modeling, simulation analyses, and econometric analyses, with its focus on household models. It
combines both lectures and exercises. This is a follow-up course of “Development Policy Analysis” (second
semester, 2013/14).
[授業の目的・到達目標と方法(Goals & Methodology)]
・経済発展論に関する基礎的知識、学術動向を理解する。 To understand the basics of economic
development and academic trends.
・ミクロ経済学に基づいた理論モデルを開発問題に応用するための能力を身につける。 To master
the art and skill to apply microeconomic models to development issues.
・応用ミクロ計量経済学的分析によって理論モデルの含意を検定するための手法を身につける。
To master the art and skill of microeconometric analysis to test theoretical implications.
[履修のための条件(Prerequisite)]
この講義を受けるためには、ミクロ経済学のコア科目(
「上級ミクロ経済学」または「中級ミク
ロ経済学」
)および計量経済学のコア科目(「上級計量経済学 I」または「中級計量経済学」)の両
方を履修し、合格していること(ないしはそれに匹敵するミクロ経済学・計量経済学の知識を有
していること)
、2013/14 年度冬学期の「開発政策論」を履修していること(ないしはそれに匹敵
する開発経済学の知識を有していること)を要件とする。(i) Intermediate-level knowledge of
microeconomics and econometrics and (ii) Introductory-level knowledge of development economics (as
taught at “Development Policy Analysis” (second semester, 2013/14) are required as prerequisite for this
course.
[成績評価の方法(Assessment)]
授業は、講義を中心に、履修学生による報告、演習などを組み合わせる。期末試験、演習、授
業での報告、講義への参加などを加味して総合的に評価する。Assessment is based on the final exam,
exercises, presentation, and contribution to the class discussion.
[事務的注意(Logistics)]
・講義関連マテリアルの配布や演習の提出などは email で行う。十分な添付ファイルを受け取るこ
とのできるメールアドレスを登録すること。Exercise materials and other lecture-related materials
will be sent by email. Register your email address.
1
[テキスト・参考文献(Textbooks / readings)]
・全体的参考文献 Related books
Handbook of Development Economics, Volumes 1-5. North-Holland, Eslervier.
黒崎卓 (2009) 『貧困と脆弱性の経済分析』勁草書房.
Deaton, Angus (1997), The Analysis of Household Surveys: A Microeconometric Approach to
Development Policy, Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
Hayami, Yujiro, and Godo, Yoshihisa (2005) Development Economics: From the Poverty to the
Wealth of Nations. Third Edition. New York: Oxford University Press.
黒崎卓 (2001) 『開発のミクロ経済学---理論と応用---』岩波書店.
Bardhan, P. and C. Udry (1999), Development Microeconomics, Oxford University Press (福井・不
破・松下訳『開発のミクロ経済学』東洋経済新報社, 2001).
・個別参考文献 Journal papers and specific references to be added in each lecture.
[授業の内容・計画 (Topics / Schedule)]
1. 家計に着目することの意義とこの講義の目的 Overview and the target of the lecture
黒崎 (2009), Deaton (1997).
2. 生産者家計のモデル・基本の復習 Basic model of self-employed households (review)
Singh, Inderjit; Squire, Lyn; and Strauss, John ed. (1986) Agricultural Household Models:
Extensions, Applications, and Policy. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins Univ. Press.
*de Janvry, A.; Fafchamps, M.; and Sadoulet, E. (1991) "Peasant Household Behavior with
Missing Markets: Some Paradox Explained." Economic Journal. 101(409): 1400-17.
Sadoulet & de Janvry (1995), Chap.6
Key, Nigel, E. Sadoulet, and A. de Janvry (2000) "Transactions Costs in the Agricultural
Household Supply Response," American Journal of Agricultural Economics 82(2): 245-259.
黒崎卓 (2001), 1-3 章
de Janvry, Alain and Elisabeth Sadoulet (2006), "Progress in the Modeling of Rural Households'
Behavior under Market Failures," in de Janvry and Kanbur (eds.), Poverty, Inequality and
Development: Essays in Honor of Erik Thorbecke. New York: Springer (2006): 155-181.
黒崎卓(2010)「開発経済学における主体均衡論:ハウスホールドモデル・アプローチの新
たな挑戦」mimeo, 2010 年度日本農業経済学会大会・特別セッション「農家主体均衡論
研究の 60 年」京都大学報告論文.
3. 不確実性の導入 Modeling risk and uncertainty
Newbery, David M., and Stiglitz, Joseph E. (1981) The Theory of Commodity Price Stabilization: A
Study in the Economics of Risk. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
Binswanger, Hans P. (1981) "Attitudes toward Risk: Theoretical Implications of an Experiment in
Rural India." Economic Journal. 91 (December 1981). 867-890.
Singh et al. (1986), esp. Chapter 9 by Roe and Graham-Tomasi.
Sadoulet and de Janvry (1995), Ch.5.
*Fafchamps, M. (1992). "Cash Crop Production, Food Price Volatility, and Rural Market
Integration in the Third World." American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 74(1): 90-99.
Fafchamps, M. (1993) "Sequential Labor Decisions Under Uncertainty: An Estimable Household
Model of West-African Farmers." Econometrica. 61(5): 1173-1197.
Kurosaki, T. and M. Fafchamps (2002) "Insurance Market Efficiency and Crop Choices in
Pakistan." Journal of Development Economics. 67(2): 419-453.
Fafchamps, Marcel (2003) Rural Poverty, Risk and Development. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.
Dercon, Stefan (ed.) (2005) Insurance Against Poverty, Oxford: Oxford University Press.
#Ito, Takahiro and Takashi Kurosaki (2009), "Weather Risk, Wages in Kind, and the Off-Farm
Labor Supply of Agricultural Households in a Developing Country," American Journal of
Agricultural Economics 91(3): 697-710.
Binswanger-Mkhize, Hans P. (2012) "Is There Too Much Hype about Index-based Agricultural
Insurance?" Journal of Development Studies 48(2): 187-200.
Cole, Shawn Allen, Xavier Gine, Jeremy Tobacman, Petia B. Topalova, Robert M. Townsend, and
James I. Vickery (2013) "Barriers to Household Risk Management: Evidence from India" AEJ
2
Applied Economics 5(1): 104-135.
4. 異時点間資源配分 Intertemporal resource allocation
*Stiglitz, Joseph E., and Weiss, Andrew (1981) "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect
Information." American Economic Review. 71(3): 393-410.
*Deaton, Angus (1991) "Saving and Liquidity Constraints." Econometrica. 59(5): 1221-48.
-----. 1992. "Household Saving in LDCs: Credit Markets, Insurance and Welfare." Scandinavian
Journal of Economics. 94(2). 253-273.
Rosenzweig, Mark R., and Wolpin, Kenneth I. (1993) "Credit Market Constraints, Consumption
Smoothing and the Accumulation of Durable Production Assets in Low-Income Countries:
Investments in Bullocks in India." Journal of Political Economy. 101(2). April. 223-244.
Pender, John L. (1996) "Discount Rates and Credit Markets: Theory and Evidence from Rural
India." Journal of Development Economics 50(2): 257-296.
Fafchamps, Marcel, and John Pender (1997) "Precautionary Saving, Credit Constraints, and
Irreversible Investment: Theory and Evidence from Semi-Arid India." Journal of Business and
Economic Statistics. 15(2) April: 180-194.
Jacoby, Hanan, and Skoufias, E. (1997) "Risk, Financial Markets, and Human Capital in a
Developing Country." Review of Economic Studies. 64(2) July: 311-335.
黒崎 (2001), Chap.2.
Yasuyuki Sawada, Kensuke Kubo, Nobuhiko Fuwa, Seiro Ito, and Takashi Kurosaki (2006) "On
the Mother and Child Labor Nexus under Credit Constraints: Findings from Rural India."
Developing Economies 44(4): 465-499.
#Karlan, Dean and Jonathan Zinman (2009) "Observing Unobservables: Identifying Information
Asymmetries with a Consumer Credit Field Experiment" Econometrica 77(6): 1993-2008.
Tanaka, Tomomi, Colin F. Camerer, and Quang Nguyen (2010) "Risk and Time Preferences:
Linking Experimental and Household Survey Data from Vietnam," American Economic Review
100(1): 557-571.
#Bauer, Michal, Julie Chytilova, and Jonatahan Morduch (2011) "Behavioral Foundations of
Microcredit: Experimental and Survey Evidence from Rural India," American Economic Review,
102(2): 1118-39.
Andreoni, James and Charles Sprenger (2012) "Risk Preferences Are Not Time Preferences."
American Economic Review 102(7): 3357-76.
5. リスクシェアリングと消費平滑化 Risk sharing and consumption smoothing
Coate, Stephen, and Ravallion, Martin (1993) "Reciprocity without Commitment: Characterization
and Performance of Informal Insurance Arrangements." Journal of Development Economics
40(1). 1-24.
*Townsend, R.M. (1994) “Risk and Insurance in Village India,” Econometrica, 62(3): 539-591.
Ravallion, Martin and Chaudhuri, Shubham (1997) "Risk and Insurance in Village India:
Comment." Econometrica. 65(1): 171-184.
*Udry, Christopher (1994) "Risk and Insurance in a Rural Credit Market: An Empirical
Investigation in Northern Nigeria." Review of Economic Studies. 61(3). 495-526.
Ligon, Ethan (1998) "Risk Sharing and Information in Village Economies." Review of Economic
Studies. 65(4): 847-864.
Ligon, E., J.P. Thomas, and T. Worrall (2002) “Informal Insurance Arrangements with Limited
Commitment: Theory and Evidence from Village Economies,” Review of Economic Studies,
vol.69, no.1, pp.209-44.
Genicot, Garance and Debraj Ray (2003) "Group Formation in Risk-Sharing Arrangements."
Review of Economic Studies 70(1): 87-113.
Fafchamps, Marcel and Susan Lund (2003) "Risk-sharing networks in rural Philippines," Journal
of Development Economics, 71(2): 261-287.
La Ferrara, Eliana (2003) "Kin Groups and Reciprocity: A Model of Credit Transactions in Ghana."
American Economic Review 93(5): 1730-1751.
#de Weerdt, Joachim and Stefan Dercon (2006) "Risk-sharing Networks and Insurance against
Illness" Journal of Development Economics, 81(2): 337-356.
Krueger, D. and F. Perri (2006) “Does Income Inequality Lead to Consumption Inequality?
Evidence and Theory,” Review of Economic Studies, 73(1): 163-193.
Fafchamps, M., and F. Gubert (2007) "Risk Sharing and Network Formation." AER Papers and
3
Proceedings 97(2): 75-79.
Blundell, R., L. Pistaferri and I. Preston (2008) “Consumption Inequality and Partial Insurance,”
American Economic Review, 98(5): 1887-1921.
#Jack, William and Tavneet Suri (2014) "Risk Sharing and Transactions Costs: Evidence from
Kenya's Mobile Money Revolution," American Economic Review 104(1): 183-223.
6. 家計内資源配分 Intrahousehold resource allocation
*Haddad, Lawrence and Ravi Kanbur (1990) "How Serious is the Neglect of Intra-Household
Inequality?" Economic Journal vol.100, no.402: 866-881.
Thomas, Duncan (1990) "Intra-Household Resource Allocation: An Inferential Approach."
Journal of Human Resources. 25(4) Fall: 635-664.
Chiappori, Pierre-Andre (1992) "Collective Labor Supply and Welfare." Journal of Political
Economy. 100(3) June: 437-467.
Alderman, H., P. Chiappori, L. Haddad, J. Hoddinott and R. Kanbur (1995) "Unitary versus
Collective Models of the Household: Is it Time to Shift the Burden of Proof?" The World Bank
Research Observer, 10(1): 1-19.
Doss, Cheryl R. (1996) "Testing among Models of Intrahousehold Resource Allocation." World
Development. 24(10) October: 1597-1609.
*Udry, Christopher (1996) "Gender, Agricultural Production and the Theory of the Household."
Journal of Political Economy. 104(5) Oct.: 1010-1046.
Behrman, Jere (1997). "Intrahousehold Distribution and the Family." in Rosenzweig, Mark R., and
Oded Stark (eds.) Handbook of Population and Family Economics Volume 1. Amsterdam,
North-Holland: Elsevier.: 125-187.
*Browning, M., and P. A. Chiappori (1998). "Efficient Intra-Household Allocations: A General
Characterization and Empirical Tests." Econometrica. 66(6) November: 1241-78.
Fuwa, Nobuhiko, Seiro Ito, Kensuke Kubo, Takashi Kurosaki, and Yasuyuki Sawada (2006)
"Gender Discrimination, Intrahousehold Resource Allocation, and Importance of Spouses'
Fathers: Evidence on Household Expenditure from Rural India." Developing Economies 44(4)
December: 398-439.
Iversen, V., C. Jackson, B. Kebede, A. Munro, and A. Verschoor (2006) "What's love got to do with
it? An experimental test of household models in East Uganda," Discussion Paper 06/01,
Department of Economics, Royal Holloway University of London.
#Mazzocco, M. (2007) "Household Intertemporal Behaviour: A Collective Characterization and a
Test of Commitment," Review of Economic Studies 74 (3): 857-895.
#Ashraf, N. (2009) "Spousal Control and Intra-Household Decision Making: An Experimental
Study in the Philippines," American Economic Review 99(4): 1245-77.
7. 実証 Empirics
Lau, Lawrence J., and Yotopoulos, Pan A (1971). "A Test for Relative Efficiency and Application
to Indian Agriculture." American Economic Review. 61(1). 94-109.
Pitt, Mark, and M. Rosenzweig (1986). "Agricultural Prices, Food Consumption, and the Health
and Productivity in Indonesian Farmers." In Singh et al. (1986): 153-82.
*Benjamin, Dwayne (1992). "Household Composition, Labor Markets, and Labor Demand:
Testing for Separation in Agricultural Household Models." Econometrica. 60(2): 287-322.
Gavian, Sarah, and Marcel Fafchamps (1996). "Land Tenure and Allocative Efficiency in Niger."
American Journal of Agricultural Economics. 78(2) : 460-471.
Udry, Christopher (1999). "Efficiency and Market Structure: Testing for Profit Maximization in
African Agriculture." In G. Ranis and L.K. Raut (eds.), Trade, Growth, and Development:
Essays in Honor of T. N. Srinivasan. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science.
Sonoda, Tadashi, and Yoshihiro Maruyama (1999). "Effects of the Internal Wage on Output
Supply: A Structural Estimation for Japanese Rice Farmers." American Journal of Agricultural
Economics. 81(1): 131-143.
Kurosaki and Fafchamps (2002).
Papers with # in the above sections.
4